On Thursday 1 October 2026, Dallas Wings play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Dallas Wings +4.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Dallas Wings +4.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at BetUS at time of publishing

The Dallas Wings have been on a roll lately, winning 5 of their last 6 games and scoring a solid 89.4 points per game. They've also won 7 of their last 10, showing they know how to put points on the board and keep up the pressure. Betting on the Wings to cover a spread of 4.5 seems promising, especially since they're playing at home where they feel comfortable. The Golden State Valkyries have also been strong, winning 5 of their last 6, but they've faced tougher opponents recently. The Wings are rated to have a good chance here, and our numbers predict a close game, with a final margin expected to be around a point. The biggest risk is simply how evenly matched these teams are, which makes this an exciting bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 153.5 Total Points (-154)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Dallas Wings are scoring really well lately, averaging over 89 points a game, and they've won 7 of their last 10. The Golden State Valkyries have also been on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10 games. Both teams are playing at a high level, which makes it likely we'll see lots of points in this matchup. Our numbers suggest they could combine for around 168 points, so betting on over 153.5 seems smart. The only thing to watch is that both teams have faced some tough opponents lately. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.50 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Veronica Burton Under 12.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Dallas Wings are playing strong lately, winning five of their last six games and scoring nearly 90 points a game. Veronica Burton has been a key player for them, but she tends to score fewer points during the day, averaging just over 10 points in those games. Since the Wings have been focused on teamwork and spreading the scoring around, it seems like Burton might not hit a high total today. On the other hand, the Golden State Valkyries also come into this game with a good record, but they've faced tougher opponents recently. This could make it hard for Burton to shine as she usually does at night. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Gabby Williams Under 24.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Gabby Williams has been scoring well lately, but her performance changes when the lights come on. In night games, she averages about 13.8 points and 2.7 assists, which totals around 16.5 when you add those stats together. That number is lower than 24.5, which is what we're looking at for this bet. Plus, the Wings are playing well, winning 7 of their last 10, while the Valkyries have faced a tough schedule that could make it hard for anyone to shine. The most concrete risk is that Williams could surprise us and have a fantastic night, especially since she has shown she can do better in daylight games. But given her recent night performance and the competitive atmosphere, betting under 24.5 points, rebounds, and assists seems like a solid choice. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Awak Kuier Over 13.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-111)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

Awak Kuier has been a key player for the Dallas Wings, and she's been on fire lately. With the Wings scoring nearly 90 points a game, there's a good chance she'll rack up points, rebounds, and assists. Plus, the Golden State Valkyries have faced a tough schedule, which might make it harder for them to keep up. The biggest risk here is that both teams are performing well lately, so it could be a close match. Still, betting on Kuier to go over 13.5 seems like a solid choice based on how she's been playing. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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