Max Fried (NYY) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-909)

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The bet on Max Fried for over 3.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a strong choice due to his consistent performance, particularly when playing away. Over the last five games, Fried's overall strikeout average has been 6, which is significantly above the line of 3.5. Furthermore, his strikeout average increases to 6.2 when playing away, indicating that he performs even better in away games. Although his strikeout average against the Reds is slightly lower at 4.5, this is still above the line. Also, Fried's innings pitched averages are consistently above 6, both overall, away, and against the Reds, which suggests he will have ample opportunities to achieve the required strikeouts. Thus, Fried's consistent strikeout performance and innings pitched, especially in away games, make this bet a solid choice.

Max Fried (NYY) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-667)

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The bet on Max Fried to allow over 0.5 walks is supported by his recent pitching performance. His last five overall games show an average of 1.4 walks allowed, which is significantly higher than the bet line of 0.5. Even when considering his away games, Fried's average walks allowed is 0.8, still above the bet line. Although his average walks allowed against the Reds is exactly 0.5, his overall and away game trends suggest a higher likelihood of exceeding this number. Furthermore, the average innings pitched in his last five games, both overall and away, is above 6, providing ample opportunities for walks. The current hit streaks also indicate that teams are making contact with Fried's pitches, which could lead to more walks. Based on these stats, the bet on Fried to allow more than 0.5 walks is statistically justified.

Max Fried (NYY) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Max Fried for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Fried has consistently allowed an average of 5 hits overall, with this number increasing to 5.8 when playing away. This trend is also evident against the Cincinnati Reds, where Fried has allowed an average of 6.5 hits. Despite his innings per game remaining relatively stable, the number of hits Fried allows has consistently surpassed the 2.5 line. This suggests a pattern of allowing a higher number of hits, making the Over 2.5 bet a statistically sound choice. The current hit streaks being at zero also does not detract from this analysis as past performance shows a tendency towards higher hit rates.

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