Elly De La Cruz (CIN) Under 1.5 Hits (-227)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 1.5 bet for Elly De La Cruz is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, De La Cruz has averaged only 1 hit per game, both overall and in away games. This is below the line of 1.5, indicating a trend towards lower hit rates. His plate appearance averages do not suggest a likelihood of increased hits, as they are consistent at 4.6-4.7. Although De La Cruz has a current hit streak, it is important to note that a streak does not guarantee a high number of hits per game. His performance against the Red Sox specifically also supports this bet, with his hit average against them being 1.7, only slightly above the line. Therefore, the under 1.5 bet is statistically justified.

Jarren Duran (BOS) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Jarren Duran in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Duran has not stolen a base at home, and his overall stolen base average is also zero. His hit streak doesn't seem to be translating into stolen bases. When playing against the Cincinnati Reds, his stolen base average is only 0.2, still below the line of 0.5. Furthermore, there are no caught stealing instances in the last five games, both overall and at home, implying that Duran is not even attempting to steal bases. This lack of aggressive base running makes the under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

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