Washington Mystics v Phoenix Mercury, 10 August 2026. Top of the list: Under 185.5 Total Points. Our model likes 4 bets in this game.
On Monday 10 August 2026, Washington Mystics play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 185.5 Total Points, priced at -714 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 185.5 Total Points (-714)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As the Washington Mystics host the Phoenix Mercury at CareFirst Arena, the stage is set for a clash that could lean heavily towards the defensive end. Both teams have been known to struggle with offensive consistency, and this matchup features two squads that prioritize stifling defense over running up the score. With the Mystics' ability to control the pace and the Mercury's recent struggles to find their rhythm on offense, we could see a slow, methodical game unfold. The stats back that up, with our model projecting a total of around 161.4 points-well below the 185.5 mark set for this game. Both teams might find themselves in a battle of attrition, where every possession counts and scoring becomes a grind. Expect a game that favors the under as they lock down defensively, making the under 185.5 the savvy play. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Alyssa Thomas Over 13.5 Rebounds and Assists (-250)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Washington Mystics play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Alyssa Thomas Over 13.5 Rebounds and Assists. That is a player rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14 if it lands. It is on at CareFirst Arena in Washington. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
DeWanna Bonner Over 8.5 Points (-189)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Washington Mystics play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is DeWanna Bonner Over 8.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.30 if it lands. It is on at CareFirst Arena in Washington. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sonia Citron Under 19.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Washington Mystics play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sonia Citron Under 19.5 Points and Rebounds. That is a player points and rebounds combined bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. It is on at CareFirst Arena in Washington. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Washington Mystics v Phoenix Mercury. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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