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Model picks & player props
Phoenix Mercury
VS
Atlanta Dream

Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 4, 8:47AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

WNBA
Gateway Center Arena, Atlanta
Indoor
Wed 5 Aug 2026, 11:00PM
20
Game Picks
39
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Atlanta Dream 1.5 (alternate_spreads)
For Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream (WNBA), model win probability 75.2%, fair odds 1.50, book price -233, model edge +5.3%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 5 Aug 2026, 11:00PM at Gateway Center Arena.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Alt Spread
Atlanta Dream
+6.5
-500
+ 19 more markets
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🔒
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta Dreamalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Phoenix Mercury

  • Kara Dunn GOut
  • Shay Ciezki GOut
  • Jovana Nogic GOut

Atlanta Dream

  • Te-Hina Paopao GOut
Availability updated Aug 4, 12:41AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 4 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability4 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jordin Canada player_assists_alternate 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Angel Reese player_rebounds_assists 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Kelsey Plum player_assists 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Rhyne Howard player_points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jordin Canada player_assists 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 5 August 2026 at Gateway Center Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 39 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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