On Thursday 24 September 2026, Washington Mystics play Chicago Sky in the WNBA. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 169 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 169 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing
The odds for the total points in this game are set at 169, but our numbers suggest it might be a bit high. The Washington Mystics have been strong lately, winning 5 of their last 6 games and scoring an average of 83.7 points. However, the Chicago Sky have struggled, winning just 1 of their last 6, and their scoring has been lower than usual with only 86.6 points per game over their last 20 outings.
Both teams are playing tight defense, and the Mystics have shown they can hold opponents back. The close matchup makes it tricky, but with the combined expected total around 164.4, betting on the under seems like a solid choice. Just keep in mind that if Chicago surprises with a big scoring night, it could change the game. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Chicago Sky +12.5 on the Line (-105)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Washington Mystics have been on a roll, winning five of their last six games and scoring an impressive 83.7 points each game this season. Meanwhile, the Chicago Sky are struggling, with only one win in their last six outings. Despite this, the Sky have managed to score an average of 86.6 points in their last twenty games, showing they can keep up the pace.
Taking the Chicago Sky with a +12.5 point spread seems like a solid choice. Our numbers give this a good chance, especially since the expected final margin is only about 6.4 points. However, the Sky's recent form has not been great, and they will need to step up to cover the spread against a strong Mystics team. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Washington Mystics v Chicago Sky. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.