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Model picks & player props
Indiana Fever
VS
Minnesota Lynx

Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx Picks & Predictions

Model updated Oct 1, 4:09PM UTC

Our model graded 38 markets for Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx and backs Under 197.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $125.

WNBA
Target Center, Minnesota
Indoor
Fri 25 Sep 2026, 12:00AM
20
Game markets graded
18
Props graded
100.0%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 197.5 Alt Total Points -400

The model graded 38 markets for Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $125 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 100.0% across 51 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 25 Sep 2026, 12:00AM at Target Center.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win97.0%
The price says76.6%
Best price-400
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Under 197.5 High97% chance -400
Alt Total Points Members only High97% chance Members
Alt Spread Members only Lean57% chance Members
Spread Members only High65% chance Members
Pts+Reb × 1 prop Highup to 82% Members
Points (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 75% Members
Pts+Reb (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 82% Members
Pts+Reb+Ast × 2 props Highup to 75% Members
Pts+Reb+Ast (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 83% Members
Points × 3 props Highup to 71% Members
Pts+Ast × 1 prop Highup to 72% Members
Pts+Ast (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 72% Members
Assists × 2 props Highup to 73% Members
3-Pointers × 2 props Highup to 72% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Indiana Fever and Minnesota Lynx last met on Fri 25 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every WNBA game priced right now.

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Under 197.5 · $100 returned $124

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 2,470 of 3,297 right (wnba totals unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 30
Under 168.5
Atlanta Dream @ Washington Mystics
CASHED
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Our call on this game: — members only · unlock tonight's call1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Under
200.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota LynxAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Indiana Fever

  • Caitlin Clark GDay-to-day
  • Aliyah Boston CDay-to-day
  • Tyasha Harris GOut

Minnesota Lynx

  • Anastasiia Olairi Kosu FOut
  • Elena Buenavida GOut
Availability updated Oct 1, 12:07AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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The preview

Written 25 Sep

Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever Prediction & Picks (Aliyah Boston Key Factor): Smart Betting Angles

On Friday 25 September 2026, Minnesota Lynx play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Minnesota Lynx +3 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Minnesota Lynx +3 on the Line (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Minnesota Lynx have been on a strong run, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring over 91 points each game this season. They're playing at home in the Target Center, which usually gives them a boost. The Indiana Fever are also doing well, scoring even more points per game, but the teams are very close in overall performance. With the Lynx only needing to keep the game within 3 points, it feels like a solid chance to take them. The biggest risk is that both teams have been winning at a similar rate lately, so it could be a tight match. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 195.5 Total Points (-385)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Indiana Fever and Minnesota Lynx have both been playing well lately, with both teams winning 7 of their last 10 games. However, the Fever are scoring a bit more, averaging 96.7 points, while the Lynx are at 91.3 points. Despite their scoring, our numbers suggest this game could be lower-scoring than expected, with a combined total closer to 160.2 points. It's worth noting that the teams are evenly matched, so a high-scoring game isn't guaranteed. Betting on under 195.5 points seems smart given how our numbers rate it as a strong favorite. It was priced at -385 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.60 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Aliyah Boston Under 26.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

Aliyah Boston has been showing some solid play lately, but there are signs she might struggle in this game. Minnesota Lynx have won 7 of their last 10 and are scoring well, but they also have a strong defense that could limit Boston's chances to rack up points, rebounds, and assists. The Lynx give up fewer rebounds and have been holding opponents to lower numbers. While Boston has the talent, the matchup against the Lynx might not work in her favor. The risk here is that both teams are playing at a high level, and the Lynx's defense could really put the brakes on her numbers. Overall, betting under 26.5 seems like a smart play for this game. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Caitlin Clark Over 20.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Caitlin Clark has been on fire lately, scoring a lot and dishing out assists like it's nothing. She's got a good chance to go over 20.5 points today, especially since she's been averaging over 25 points at night. The Lynx have been solid lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games, but so have the Fever. Both teams are competitive, so that makes things interesting. The biggest risk is that the game could be closer than expected, which might affect how much Clark can score. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kelsey Mitchell Under 24.5 Points (-103)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

Kelsey Mitchell has been on a solid run, but she faces a tough matchup against the Minnesota Lynx, who have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Lynx are known for their defense, and that could make it hard for Mitchell to score. With both teams scoring well recently, this game could be tightly contested, but the Lynx's defensive skills might limit Mitchell's chances. Betting on Kelsey Mitchell to score under 24.5 points makes sense given how well the Lynx have been playing. The risk is that Mitchell can be a game-changer, and she has scored well in some games. However, with the way the Lynx are defending, it's likely she may not hit that number. It was priced at -103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v Indiana Fever. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Caitlin Clark IND Pts+Reb
Caitlin Clark IND Points (Alt)
Caitlin Clark IND Pts+Reb (Alt)
Aliyah Boston IND Pts+Reb+Ast
Caitlin Clark IND Pts+Reb+Ast (Alt)

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Indiana Fever @ Minnesota Lynx — what the model found

Our model graded 38 betting markets for Indiana Fever at Minnesota Lynx — 20 on the game itself and 18 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
18
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 38 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 37 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx — recent results

Minnesota Lynx have won 2 of their last 5 games; Indiana Fever have won 2 of their last 5.

Minnesota Lynx — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L71–87NYAway
L75–91NYHome
W86–66INDHome
L77–96INDAway
W101–89CONAway
Indiana Fever — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W99–89LVHome
L85–102LVAway
L66–86MINAway
W96–77MINHome
L77–93WSHHome

Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Minnesota Lynx won 2, Indiana Fever won 1.

DateMinnesota LynxIndiana FeverWinner
Sep 258666Minnesota Lynx
Sep 237796Indiana Fever
Aug 2108100Minnesota Lynx

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Minnesota Lynx
PlayerStatus
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu FOUT
Elena Buenavida GOUT
Indiana Fever
PlayerStatus
Caitlin Clark GDAY-TO-DAY
Aliyah Boston CDAY-TO-DAY
Tyasha Harris GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Indiana Fever @ Minnesota Lynx — model preview

Minnesota Lynx v Indiana Fever, 25 September 2026. Top of the list: Minnesota Lynx +3 on the Line. Our model likes 5 bets in this game.

On Friday 25 September 2026, Minnesota Lynx play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Minnesota Lynx +3 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Minnesota Lynx +3 on the Line (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Minnesota Lynx have been on a strong run, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring over 91 points each game this season. They're playing at home in the Target Center, which usually gives them a boost. The Indiana Fever are also doing well, scoring even more points per game, but the teams are very close in overall performance. With the Lynx only needing to keep the game within 3 points, it feels like a solid chance to take them. The biggest risk is that both teams have been winning at a similar rate lately, so it could be a tight match. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 5 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
51
Total Picks
100.0%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
25 Sep 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +7 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Spread Minnesota Lynx +2.5 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +11 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +11.5 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +1.5 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +1 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +6.5 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +6 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +8.5 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +4.5 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +4 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +10.5 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Spread Minnesota Lynx +3.5 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Alt Spread Minnesota Lynx +3 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Under 200.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Fever vs Lynx, or as Lynx vs Fever. The most recent game between them was Friday 25 September 2026 at Target Center. The model has generated 20 game picks and 18 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 100.0% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Minnesota Lynx 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
25 Sep 2026Indiana Fever @ Minnesota Lynx86–66Minnesota Lynx
23 Sep 2026Minnesota Lynx @ Indiana Fever96–77Indiana Fever
2 Aug 2026Indiana Fever @ Minnesota Lynx108–100Minnesota Lynx
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