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Model picks & player props
Atlanta Dream
VS
Connecticut Sun

Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 11, 11:36PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

WNBA
Mohegan Sun Arena, Connecticut
Indoor
Thu 13 Aug 2026, 11:00PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Connecticut Sun 11 (Alt Spread)
The model graded 20 markets for Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $171 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 75.0%, fair odds 1.80, book price -141, model edge +16.5%. Tip-off Thu 13 Aug 2026, 11:00PM at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 385 of 493 right (wnba spread calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 11
Chicago Sky 9.5
Chicago Sky @ Seattle Storm
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STAKE $100RETURNS $127
Our call on this game: 1 pick on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Alt Spread
Connecticut Sun
+16.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Connecticut Sunalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut Sunalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut Sunalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut Sunalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut Sunalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut Sunalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut Sunalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut Sunalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut Sunalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut Sunalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut Sunalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Atlanta Dream

  • Indya Nivar GOut
  • Te-Hina Paopao GOut

Connecticut Sun

  • Ashlon Jackson GOut
  • Raegan Beers FOut
  • Maria Kliundikova FOut
Availability updated Aug 10, 11:04PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Atlanta Dream @ Connecticut Sun — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Atlanta Dream at Connecticut Sun — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun — recent results

Connecticut Sun have won 1 of their last 5 games; Atlanta Dream have won 3 of their last 5.

Connecticut Sun — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W75–72PHXHome
L63–83DALAway
L88–94CHIAway
L84–92WSHAway
L88–123INDAway
Atlanta Dream — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W107–95TORHome
L74–79WSHAway
W96–82PHXHome
L87–109LVHome
W98–89SEAHome

Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Connecticut Sun won 0, Atlanta Dream won 1.

DateConnecticut SunAtlanta DreamWinner
Jun 27591Atlanta Dream

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Connecticut Sun
PlayerStatus
Ashlon Jackson GOUT
Raegan Beers FOUT
Maria Kliundikova FOUT
Atlanta Dream
PlayerStatus
Indya Nivar GOUT
Te-Hina Paopao GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Atlanta Dream @ Connecticut Sun — model preview

Connecticut Sun v Atlanta Dream, 14 August 2026. Top of the list: Connecticut Sun +21.5 on the Line. Our model likes 2 bets in this game.

On Friday 14 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +21.5 on the Line, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Connecticut Sun +21.5 on the Line (-588)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Connecticut Sun play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Friday 14 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Connecticut Sun +21.5 on the Line. That is a points handicap bet. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Dream vs Sun, or as Sun vs Dream. The next scheduled game is Thursday 13 August 2026 at Mohegan Sun Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 1 meeting
Atlanta Dream 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
2 Jun 2026Connecticut Sun @ Atlanta Dream91–75Atlanta Dream
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