On Wednesday 23 September 2026, Indiana Fever play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Indiana Fever +0.5 on the Line, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Indiana Fever +0.5 on the Line (-112)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
The Indiana Fever need to keep up their strong play against the Minnesota Lynx tonight. Indiana has been on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring over 100 points per game in their last 20 outings. They also have home court advantage, which can make a big difference. While Minnesota has also been winning lately, their recent form isn't as strong as Indiana's. The Fever's consistent scoring and solid performances give them a good chance to pull this off. The most concrete risk is that Minnesota is still a solid team and has been winning, so this game could be very close. Overall, Indiana seems ready to keep up their winning ways. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 191.5 Total Points (-208)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The Indiana Fever and Minnesota Lynx both have strong scoring lately, but they also face tough defenses. The Fever have won 8 of their last 10 and are averaging over 100 points a game, while the Lynx are scoring around 91 points. However, the combined total for this matchup is expected to be around 171.6, which is well below the 191.5 mark we're betting on. The Fever's recent form and the Lynx's travel distance could slow down the scoring. Keep an eye on how both teams handle the pressure; it could affect the total points scored. It was priced at -208 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.80 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Kayla McBride has been on fire lately, helping her team score big. She's been averaging a lot of points, and with the Indiana Fever allowing more scoring lately, it looks like she has a solid chance to hit over 18.5 points in this game. Both teams have won 7 of their last 10 matchups and are playing well, which should lead to a competitive, high-scoring game. One thing to keep in mind is that the Fever's defense has been a bit shaky, giving up more points in recent games. But with McBride's ability to score and the Fever's current form, it feels like she can step up and get those points. This bet looks promising, but there's always a chance it might not go as planned. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Caitlin Clark Under 30.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Caitlin Clark has been playing well lately, but we think her points and assists might fall short in this game. The Indiana Fever and Minnesota Lynx have both been winning a lot, and both teams score a good number of points. However, the Fever have been strong defensively, which could make it tough for Clark to rack up those stats. The matchup is pretty close, so there's a chance she could surprise us. But with the Fever's solid defense and the way both teams have been performing, betting on Clark to score under 30.5 points and assists seems like a smart call. Just keep in mind, if she has a great night, it could easily go the other way. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Napheesa Collier Under 30.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Napheesa Collier has been solid lately, but her performance can dip when playing on the road. For this game against the Indiana Fever, we're picking her to score under 30.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists. The Fever have been strong at home, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring a lot, which could change the flow and limit Collier's chances to rack up numbers. Collier's average at night is decent, but she tends to struggle a bit when facing tougher defenses like Indiana's. Even though she can be a key player, the Fever's recent form makes this a tricky matchup. Keep in mind, she will need to have a standout game to hit that mark, and the Fever's strong play could make it tough for her. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Indiana Fever v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article