On Wednesday 30 September 2026, Washington Mystics play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 171 Total Points, priced at -213 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 171 Total Points (-213)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Washington Mystics have been on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 84 points per game this season. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Dream have also been strong, winning 9 of their last 10. However, they've faced some tougher teams, having a weaker schedule than the Mystics. With both teams playing solid defense and the Mystics having a combined total expected at around 156 points, betting on under 171 seems smart. Just remember, the Dream could surprise with their scoring, making this a tricky bet. It was priced at -213 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
DeWanna Bonner Over 14.5 Points and Rebounds (+110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The Washington Mystics are on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 84 points per game this season. DeWanna Bonner has been active, averaging around 12.9 points and assists at night, which puts her in a good spot to hit the over on 14.5 combined points and rebounds. However, the Atlanta Dream have also been strong, winning 9 of their last 10, making this matchup pretty even. With both teams playing well, it could go either way, but Bonner's recent form makes this a solid pick. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Angel Reese Over 17.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
For this game, Angel Reese needs to score points and get assists, and we're hoping she'll go over 17.5 combined. She has been really strong at night, averaging over 23 points and assists in those games, which shows she can deliver when it counts. The Washington Mystics have been on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10, and they're scoring a lot, making it likely Reese gets plenty of chances to shine. The Atlanta Dream are no slouches either, having won 9 of their last 10 games, so this will be a tough matchup. However, Reese has been more effective when the lights are on, and the Mystics' scoring pace could help her out. The biggest risk here is that both teams are playing great basketball right now, which could make things close. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Mystics have been on fire lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring a solid 84 points each game this season. Jordin Canada has been a big part of that, stepping up with strong performances, especially at night where she averages over 17 points combined with assists. The Dream have also been playing well, winning 9 of their last 10, but their recent schedule has been tougher than the Mystics. Betting on Canada to score over 10.5 points looks good, but the risk is that both teams are in great form, making it a close matchup. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Washington Mystics v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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