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Model picks & player props
Manchester City
VS
Manchester United

Manchester City vs Manchester United Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 9, 11:25AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Old Trafford, Manchester
Outdoor
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 3:30PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Manchester City 0 Spread -179

The model graded 20 markets for Manchester City vs Manchester United (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $156 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Sep 2026, 3:30PM at Old Trafford.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win60.5%
The price says58.0%
Best price-179
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Manchester City 0 High61% chance -179
Draw No Bet High61% chance —
Spread High94% chance —
Spread High85% chance —
Total Goals High88% chance —
Moneyline Lean44% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Lean44% chance —
Total Goals High94% chance —
Spread Lean45% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
Manchester United are the model's favourite to beat Manchester City, with a 50% chance to win. Kick-off Sun 13 Sep, 3:30PM at Old Trafford. Best bet: Manchester City 0 at -179.
How they've been scoring this season
Manchester CityManchester United
Won-lost3-0-01-1-1
Goals scored per game2.32.3
Goals allowed per game0.72.0
On the road / at home1-0-0 away1-0-0 at home
Last 5 gamesWWWLWD
Their games average 3.7 total goals this season.
From the 3 Manchester City and 3 Manchester United games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 39 bookmakers compared
Winner
City2.22+122Betfair Exchange (UK)
Draw4.00+300Kalshi
United3.23+223Kalshi
Total goals
Over3.52.38+138Kalshi
Under3.51.67-150Kalshi

Manchester City vs Manchester United odds by bookmaker

39 books · best price in green
BookCity winUnited winOver 3.5Under 3.5
Kalshi2.17+1173.23+2232.38+1381.67-150
Polymarket2.25+1253.28+2282.50+1501.67-150
888sport2.10+1103.00+200——
Bally Bet2.14+1143.00+200——
Bet Victor2.10+1103.00+200——
Betano2.10+1103.00+200——
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22+1223.20+220——
Betfair Sb (UK)2.10+1103.00+200——
Betfred2.10+1103.00+200——
BetMGM2.10+1103.10+210——
BetOnline2.14+1143.10+210——
betPARX2.10+1102.95+195——
BetRivers2.14+1143.00+200——
BetUS2.15+1153.10+210——

Since the market opened: United to win opened 2.98, best now 3.28; the over 3.5 opened 2.29, best now 2.50 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 56 of 116 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 7
Cagliari
Lecce @ Cagliari
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $162
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Manchester City
+3.5
-10000
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,700+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Manchester CitySpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Manchester CityDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Manchester CitySpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Manchester CitySpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Manchester CityMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Manchester CityHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Manchester CitySpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Manchester UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Manchester CitySpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Manchester CitySpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Manchester CitySpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Under on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Under
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Draw
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Manchester City

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Manchester United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Manchester City vs Manchester United: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Manchester City @ Manchester United — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Manchester City at Manchester United — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Manchester City @ Manchester United — where the money went

Since betting opened on Manchester City at Manchester United, the market has moved away from Under across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Total Points — Under 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 3.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 2.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Manchester City -0.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 3▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Manchester United▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 3▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 3.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Manchester City vs Manchester United in the Soccer. You may also see this matchup written as City vs United, or as United vs City. The next scheduled game is Sunday 13 September 2026 at Old Trafford. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 38 meetings on record
Manchester City 18–15 across the last 38 meetings · 5 draws · these games average 2.8 goals (meetings on record since 2007)
DateGameScoreWinner
17 Jan 2026Manchester City @ Manchester United2–0Manchester United
14 Sep 2025Manchester United @ Manchester City3–0Manchester City
6 Apr 2025Manchester City @ Manchester United0–0Draw
15 Dec 2024Manchester United @ Manchester City1–2Manchester United
3 Mar 2024Manchester United @ Manchester City3–1Manchester City
29 Oct 2023Manchester City @ Manchester United0–3Manchester City
14 Jan 2023Manchester City @ Manchester United2–1Manchester United
2 Oct 2022Manchester United @ Manchester City6–3Manchester City
6 Mar 2022Manchester United @ Manchester City4–1Manchester City
6 Nov 2021Manchester City @ Manchester United0–2Manchester City

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 38 meetings on file.

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