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NHL predictions for Monday, October 5: the model backs Stars

4 NHL games on Monday. The model's strongest pick is Stars to win, a HIGH-confidence call.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning

Mon Oct 5, 7:00 PM ET
Our pick: Under 5.5 goals+102

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Tampa Bay Lightning have been scoring a bit better lately, winning four out of their last ten games, but they face a Philadelphia Flyers team struggling to find the net, with just one win in their last ten games.

Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins

Mon Oct 5, 7:30 PM ET
Our pick: Senators to win+100

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

For the Ottawa Senators to win tonight, they need to score more goals than the Boston Bruins.

Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins

Mon Oct 5, 7:30 PM ET

The model's picks for this game are on the game page.

San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars

Mon Oct 5, 8:00 PM ET
Top pick: Stars to win-167

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The odds for the Dallas Stars to win are looking pretty good at -167.

How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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