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NHL predictions for Monday, October 5: the model backs Jets

4 NHL games on Monday. The model's strongest pick is Jets +2.5, a HIGH-confidence call.

By David Petrov · Published Oct 4, 12:00 AM ET · Updated Oct 5, 1:40 PM ET

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Monday, October 5. See today's NHL predictions

Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning

Mon Oct 5, 7:00 PM ET
Our pick: Under 5.5 goals+100

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Tampa Bay Lightning have been better lately, winning 5 out of their last 10 games.

Full Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning preview →

Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins

Mon Oct 5, 7:30 PM ET
Our pick: Senators to win-118

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Ottawa Senators need to outplay the Boston Bruins tonight to get the win.

Full Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins preview →

Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins

Mon Oct 5, 7:30 PM ET
Top pick: Jets +2.5 (they can lose by up to 2 and the bet still wins)-294

HIGH — about an 8 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Pittsburgh Penguins have been doing well lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games.

Full Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins preview →

San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars

Mon Oct 5, 8:00 PM ET
San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars · Total Goals Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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