New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks (Napheesa Collier Key Factor): Our Expert Analysis

The New York Liberty have been playing well lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They've faced tough competition, which makes their recent form even more impressive. On the other hand, the Minnesota Lynx have also won 6 of their last 10, but they're scoring fewer points recently, averaging just over 90 points a game this season. The combined total points in this matchup is expected to be around 160, so betting on under 177.5 seems smart. The biggest risk is that both teams can surprise with their scoring, but the Liberty's tough schedule gives them a solid chance to keep the total lower. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Napheesa Collier Under 9.5 Rebounds and Assists (+110)

For Napheesa Collier to have fewer than 9.5 rebounds and assists tonight, she needs to face some tough competition. The New York Liberty have been playing strong lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They've faced some of the hardest teams in the league, which could limit Collier's chances to rack up numbers. While Collier has some good averages, her stats suggest she struggles more when playing away. She averages fewer assists and points on the road compared to at home. That could make it tough for her to hit that total. If she has an off night or if the Liberty's defense holds strong, this bet has a solid chance. Just keep in mind, she can still surprise us. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Courtney Williams Under 16.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

New York Liberty's Courtney Williams faces a tough challenge against the Minnesota Lynx. Both teams have had a solid run lately, but Williams has been under pressure with her scoring and rebounding. The Lynx have been pretty strong, scoring nearly 91 points a game, which can limit individual performances. Betting on Williams to score under 16.5 points and rebounds makes sense here. With the way the teams are matched up, it looks like Williams might not reach that mark. The Lynx's defense can create problems, and Williams has not been firing on all cylinders lately. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Leonie Fiebich Under 10.5 Points and Assists (-110)

Leonie Fiebich has been solid lately, but her scoring and assists drop a bit during the day. She averages about 10.3 points and 2.3 assists at night, but those numbers fall to around 7.8 points and 2 in daylight. This suggests she might struggle to reach double digits in points and assists combined in this matchup against the New York Liberty. Both teams are pretty evenly matched, and with the Liberty facing one of the toughest schedules, they will be ready for a challenge. The most concrete risk is that Fiebich could surprise everyone, as she has had some bright moments. Still, the odds are leaning toward her staying under 10.5 points and assists today. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.