On Thursday 1 October 2026, Dallas Wings play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Dallas Wings +4 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Dallas Wings +4 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Dallas Wings have been on fire lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive average of almost 90 points per game. They've also taken 5 out of their last 6 matches, showing they know how to put points on the board. For this game, I like the Wings to cover the spread by taking them with a +4, especially since they're playing at home. The Golden State Valkyries have done well too, winning 7 of their last 10, but they faced a tougher schedule than most teams. The Wings' recent scoring and solid home performance give them a good chance to keep this close or even win outright. One risk is that the teams have similar recent form, making it tougher to predict the outcome. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 151 Total Points (-179)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Dallas Wings are on a hot streak, winning five of their last six games and scoring an impressive 89.4 points per game this season. The Golden State Valkyries have also been strong, but they faced tougher opponents recently, which could weigh them down. With both teams scoring well and our numbers suggesting a combined total of around 168 points, betting on over 151 seems like a good idea. Just remember, the Valkyries have also been playing well, so it could end up closer than expected. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.60 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kayla Thornton Under 5.5 Rebounds and Assists (+110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Dallas Wings are on a solid winning streak, having taken 7 of their last 10 games. They score a lot, averaging 89.4 points a game, which can put pressure on the Golden State Valkyries. Kayla Thornton has been a bit inconsistent, particularly at night, where she averages only 0.3 assists and 4.2 points in her last ten games. With her combined points and assists usually staying low in night games, betting on her to get under 5.5 rebounds and assists feels like a smart move. The most concrete risk is that Thornton might have a surprising game, but given her recent form, this pick looks promising. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Paige Bueckers Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists (+110)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

Paige Bueckers can be a big factor in the game between the Dallas Wings and the Golden State Valkyries. She's been scoring well, and her ability to dish out assists is impressive, especially when she plays at night. With the Wings scoring almost 90 points a game lately, she'll likely have plenty of chances to add to her rebounds and assists. The risk here is that both teams are performing well lately, making it hard to predict exactly how she'll do. Still, betting on Bueckers to get over 9.5 rebounds and assists feels like a solid pick. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Gabby Williams Under 23.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Gabby Williams has been solid this season, but she struggles in day games, averaging just one assist in those matches. The Dallas Wings are in strong form, winning five of their last six games and scoring a ton, but Williams might not keep up the same pace against the Golden State Valkyries, who have faced tougher competition this year. Even though both teams are playing well overall, the fact that Williams tends to score fewer points and assist less during the day raises a concrete risk for this bet. With the total set at under 23.5 for points, rebounds, and assists, it feels like a smart pick given her daylight struggles. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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