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MLB predictions for Wednesday, September 30: Over 7 runs in Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees

4 MLB games on Wednesday. The model's strongest pick is Over 7 runs, a LEAN-confidence call.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Wednesday, September 30. See today's MLB predictions

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

Wed Sep 30, 2:00 PM ET
Our pick: Over 7 runs-108

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Both the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies have been a bit shaky lately, winning only 2 of their last 6 games.

Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros

Wed Sep 30, 5:00 PM ET
Our pick: Over 8 runs+112

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Chicago White Sox are hitting well, scoring nearly 5 runs a game this season.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees

Wed Sep 30, 8:00 PM ET
Top pick: Over 7 runs+110

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

The New York Yankees have been strong at home, scoring an impressive 4.6 runs per game while allowing just 3.7 runs.

Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres

Wed Sep 30, 10:00 PM ET
Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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