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MLB predictions for Tuesday, September 29: Over 6 runs in Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees

4 MLB games on Tuesday. The model's strongest pick is Over 6 runs, a HIGH-confidence call.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Tuesday, September 29. See today's MLB predictions

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

Tue Sep 29, 2:00 PM ET
Our pick: Phillies +1 (they must not lose; lose by exactly 1 and your stake comes back)+112

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

For the Philadelphia Phillies to cover the spread, they need to keep the game close or win against the Atlanta Braves.

Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros

Tue Sep 29, 5:00 PM ET
Our pick: Astros -1 (they must win by 2 or more; win by exactly 1 and your stake comes back)+115

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Houston Astros look to turn things around at Minute Maid Park after losing three straight at home.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees

Tue Sep 29, 8:00 PM ET
Top pick: Over 6 runs-114

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Yankees have some big hitters, and with the Red Sox's recent form, they've shown they can score runs too, winning 5 of their last 10 games.

Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres

Tue Sep 29, 10:00 PM ET
Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres · Total Runs Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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