MLB
MLB predictions for Monday, September 21: Over 7.5 runs in Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles
3 MLB games on Monday. The model's strongest pick is Over 7.5 runs, a LEAN-confidence call.
By Samantha Chen · Published Sep 20, 12:00 AM ET · Updated Sep 21, 10:27 PM ET
Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles
Mon Sep 21, 6:35 PM ET
Top pick: Over 7.5 runs-115
LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers
The Baltimore Orioles are hitting well lately, winning three straight games on the road, while the Toronto Blue Jays have struggled a bit, taking only two of their last five.
Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers
Mon Sep 21, 6:40 PM ET
Our pick: Nationals +1 (they must not lose; lose by exactly 1 and your stake comes back)-119
LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers
The odds on Washington Nationals +1 are looking pretty tempting.
Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants
Mon Sep 21, 9:45 PM ET
Our pick: Over 9 runs+125
LONG-SHOT — about a 3 in 10 chance by our numbers
The San Francisco Giants have been playing solid baseball lately, but Oracle Park is known for keeping home runs down.
How we pick these games
Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.
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