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Model picks & player props
Minnesota Twins
VS
New York Yankees

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 2:32PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Fri 3 Jul 2026, 11:05PM
0
Game markets graded
7
Props graded

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Player props & full board
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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Minnesota Twins

  • Zebby Matthews SPDay-to-day
  • Joe Ryan SPOut
  • Byron Buxton CFOut
  • Mike Paredes SPOut
  • Cole Sands RPOut
  • David Festa SPOut
  • Mick Abel SPOut
  • Anthony Banda RPOut
  • Pablo Lopez SPOut

Probable pitcher

Connor Prielipp SP

New York Yankees

  • Cody Bellinger LFOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut

Probable pitcher

Cam Schlittler SP
Availability updated Aug 9, 6:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Mike Paredes Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Ben Rice NYY Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Joe Ryan MIN Pitcher - Hits Allowed 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Cody Bellinger NYY Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees — 0 on the game itself and 7 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

7
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 6 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 games; Minnesota Twins have won 2 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2ATLHome
W5–4ATLHome
W3–2ATLHome
L1–3STLHome
W2–0STLHome
Minnesota Twins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4MILAway
L3–4MILAway
W8–6MILAway
W4–3KCAway
L1–2KCAway

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New York Yankees won 1, Minnesota Twins won 2.

DateNew York YankeesMinnesota TwinsWinner
Jul 516Minnesota Twins
Jul 4411Minnesota Twins
Jul 352New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Cody Bellinger LFOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Carlos Rodon SPOUT
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Minnesota Twins
PlayerStatus
Zebby Matthews SPDAY-TO-DAY
Joe Ryan SPOUT
Byron Buxton CFOUT
Mike Paredes SPOUT
Cole Sands RPOUT
David Festa SPOUT
Mick Abel SPOUT
Anthony Banda RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees — model preview

Deep dive into New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins stats and odds.

New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins : New York Yankees Win (-159)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Yankees prepare to host the Twins on July 4th, the stage is set for a thrilling showdown. New York has been a force at home, boasting an impressive record that underscores their dominance in the Bronx. Recently, their bats have come alive, with standout performances from their lineup, which is hitting above .270 over the last month. Meanwhile, Minnesota has struggled on the road, unable to consistently generate offense, particularly against top-tier pitching. Speaking of pitching, the Yankees are sending out a starter who has been nothing short of spectacular lately, boasting an ERA under 3.00 in his last five outings. In contrast, the Twins' rotation has shown vulnerability, giving up runs at an alarming rate. With the Yankees riding a wave of momentum and a favorable matchup, they look poised to secure a victory. Expect the Bronx Bombers to capitalize on their home-field advantage and bring home the win.

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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Twins vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Twins. The most recent game between them was Friday 3 July 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 7 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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