As the Dodgers and Diamondbacks face off, all eyes will be on Geraldo Perdomo. While he’s shown flashes of potential, the matchup against a dominant Dodgers pitching staff is daunting. Over the last month, LA's starters have posted a dazzling 2.75 ERA at home, stifling opposing hitters with a potent combination of strikeouts and limiting hard contact.
Perdomo's recent form adds another layer to this narrative. He’s struggled to find consistent success against left-handed pitching, and with the Dodgers likely deploying a southpaw, it could be a long afternoon for him. Furthermore, LA’s defense has been stellar, transforming tough plays into outs. Given these trends and Perdomo's tendency to be kept in check, betting on him to stay under 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs feels like a smart play in this tightly contested matchup.
Gabriel Moreno (ARI) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-323)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Dodgers prepare to face the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Gabriel Moreno’s performance at the plate. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance this season, recent trends indicate he may struggle against the Dodgers' formidable pitching staff, especially given the way they’ve been attacking right-handed hitters.
Moreno’s batting average has dipped against teams boasting a strong bullpen, and with L.A. rolling out a top-notch starter who excels in limiting hard contact, it’s hard to envision him racking up the total bases today. Arizona’s lineup has faced the Dodgers' ace multiple times, and history shows they’ve had a hard time making consistent contact.
With the projection leaning heavily towards him finishing below 1.5 total bases, it might be wise to lean into the under here. Moreno could be in for a challenging afternoon against the relentless Dodgers, making this a compelling spot for the under bet.
Max Kepler (MIN) Under 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-385)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Dodgers gear up to face the Diamondbacks, Max Kepler's performance becomes a focal point in the betting landscape. While the Dodgers boast a powerful lineup, Kepler's recent stats suggest a different narrative. He’s been struggling to find his groove at the plate, hitting just .220 against left-handed pitching over the last month, and with Arizona sending a crafty lefty to the mound, the odds of him racking up multiple hits, runs, or RBIs diminish.
Moreover, the Dodgers' pitching staff has been lights out, with their starters combining for a stellar 2.85 ERA at home. Against a backdrop of tight pitching and Kepler’s inconsistency, the under on his 2.5 hits, runs, and RBIs feels like a savvy play. Add in the fact that he’s been averaging well below this mark lately, and you’ve got a recipe for a solid bet on the under as this game unfolds.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks : Under 10.5 Total Runs (-106)
Odds available at NA at time of publishing
As the Dodgers welcome the Diamondbacks to Dodger Stadium, we’re likely in for a tightly contested game with runs at a premium. Both teams have taken turns showing offensive prowess, but recent trends indicate a dip in scoring that aligns perfectly with the under bet.
Los Angeles has leaned heavily on their pitching staff, which has been absolutely lights out, particularly at home. Their starters have been limiting hard contact, and with the bullpen’s stellar ERA, we could see Arizona struggle to string together hits.
Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have faced left-handed pitchers like Clayton Kershaw, who excels in silencing opposing bats. Arizona’s lineup has averaged just over four runs per game lately, and with Kershaw on the mound, that number could drop even further.
Taking the under at 10.5 feels like the right move, especially with both teams trending toward lower-scoring affairs. Expect a game dominated by pitching and defensive finesse.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks : Under 10.5 Total Runs (-110)
Odds available at NA at time of publishing
As the Dodgers and Diamondbacks square off on July 12, 2026, we're likely in for a tightly contested affair under the California sun. Both teams have been trending towards the Under lately, with the Dodgers' pitching staff quietly holding opponents to an average of just 3.8 runs per game over their last ten outings. That’s a testament to the effectiveness of their starters, who have consistently kept opposing bats at bay.
On the flip side, the Diamondbacks have struggled to find their rhythm at the plate, averaging a mere 4.1 runs per game this season. With the Dodgers’ ace on the mound, who boasts an impressive strikeout rate and a knack for getting out of jams, runs may be hard to come by in this matchup.
Given the line set at 10.5, it seems prudent to bank on a game that stays closer to the model prediction of 9.28, making the Under a compelling play.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks : Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5 (+146)
Odds available at NA at time of publishing
As the Dodgers welcome the Diamondbacks, this matchup feels ripe for a significant Los Angeles victory. The Dodgers have been an offensive juggernaut lately, averaging over five runs per game in their last ten outings. With their lineup’s depth, it’s no surprise to see stars like Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman driving in crucial runs.
On the mound, the Dodgers are starting a pitcher who’s been nearly untouchable at home, boasting a sub-3.00 ERA this season. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have struggled to find consistency, particularly against left-handed pitchers. Their recent road woes have them limping into this game, having dropped six of their last eight on the road.
With the Dodgers not only looking to win but to dominate, the -2.5 run line feels like a smart play. Expect Los Angeles to bring the heat and potentially run away with this one.