On Thursday 1 October 2026, Dallas Wings play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Dallas Wings +4.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Dallas Wings +4.5 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings have been on a roll lately, winning 5 of their last 6 games and scoring a solid 89.4 points per game. They've also won 7 of their last 10, showing they know how to put points on the board and keep up the pressure. Betting on the Wings to cover a spread of 4.5 seems promising, especially since they're playing at home where they feel comfortable. The Golden State Valkyries have also been strong, winning 5 of their last 6, but they've faced tougher opponents recently. The Wings are rated to have a good chance here, and our numbers predict a close game, with a final margin expected to be around a point. The biggest risk is simply how evenly matched these teams are, which makes this an exciting bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 154.5 Total Points (-145)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings have been scoring really well lately, averaging over 89 points a game in their last 10 matches. They've won 7 of those, showing they can put up big numbers. The Golden State Valkyries have also been strong, winning 8 of their last 10 games. However, they've faced some tough opponents, which could slow down their scoring. With both teams bringing their best offensive play, a bet on the total points to go over 154.5 seems promising, but the close competition means it might not hit. It was priced at -145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Jessica Shepard has been on fire lately, especially at night, where she scores around 16 points and dishes out over 5 assists. The Dallas Wings are also scoring a lot, averaging nearly 90 points per game. This means there are plenty of chances for Shepard to rack up her points. The Golden State Valkyries have faced a tougher schedule, which could make it harder for them to keep up. The main risk here is that if the game turns into a low-scoring affair, Shepard might not hit the 12 points we need. But overall, this bet looks strong. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Paige Bueckers Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists (+110)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Paige Bueckers can be a big factor in the game between the Dallas Wings and the Golden State Valkyries. She's been scoring well, and her ability to dish out assists is impressive, especially when she plays at night. With the Wings scoring almost 90 points a game lately, she'll likely have plenty of chances to add to her rebounds and assists. The risk here is that both teams are performing well lately, making it hard to predict exactly how she'll do. Still, betting on Bueckers to get over 9.5 rebounds and assists feels like a solid pick. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Kayla Thornton faces a tough challenge against the Dallas Wings, who are scoring a lot lately. With the Wings averaging nearly 90 points a game, it might be hard for her to find space to score. Plus, she's been less effective at night, averaging only 4.2 points in those games. Betting on her to score under 7.5 points feels like a solid choice. The Wings' strong defense could make it tougher for her to get good shots. If she struggles to find her rhythm, this bet could pay off. Just keep an eye on how she's playing; the game could still surprise us. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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