On Thursday 24 September 2026, New York Liberty play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is New York Liberty +3.5 on the Line, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
New York Liberty +3.5 on the Line (-112)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream are two strong teams, both winning a lot of games recently. The Liberty have won 7 of their last 10 and faced some tough opponents, which makes their performance impressive. On the other hand, the Dream have been scoring nearly 96 points a game in their last 20 games, showing they can put up big numbers. For this matchup, I'm picking New York Liberty +3.5. They have home court advantage, and the game is expected to be very close, almost like a coin flip. The main risk here is that the Dream have been playing exceptionally well too, so it's not a guaranteed win. But the Liberty have shown they can hang tough against tough competition, which gives them a solid chance. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Atlanta Dream to Win (-149)
Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing
The Atlanta Dream come into this game on a strong run, winning 8 of their last 10 matches and 5 of their last 6. They've faced some tough teams, with a schedule that ranks in the middle among all clubs, but they've handled it well. Meanwhile, the New York Liberty have also been solid, winning 7 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 6, making this a close matchup. Both teams are performing well, but the Liberty have faced a slightly tougher schedule. The Dream have a little more rest and less travel, which might give them a slight advantage. The most concrete risk is that both teams are in great form, so it could easily go either way. Still, the numbers suggest the Dream have a good chance to come out on top here. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 177.5 Total Points (-149)
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
Both the New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream are playing well lately, with the Liberty winning 7 of their last 10 and the Dream winning 8 of their last 10. However, their defensive numbers suggest fewer points. The Liberty have faced tough teams recently, which might keep the score lower, while the Dream average around 95.8 points but could be challenged by the Liberty's solid defense. Our numbers suggest a combined total around 163.2, making the under 177.5 a solid pick. The main risk is that both teams have been scoring well, so they could surprise us. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Allisha Gray Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (+110)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Allisha Gray has been scoring well lately, especially during the day when she averages over 23 points. She also tends to assist a lot more when the sun is up, showing her ability to get open for three-pointers. With the New York Liberty facing the Atlanta Dream at Barclays Center, Gray has a good chance to hit over 1.5 three-pointers, especially since the Liberty have been playing tough teams this season. The main risk here is that both teams are on a hot streak, winning most of their recent games. Still, Gray's daytime performance looks promising, and the odds of +110 are worth considering. If she finds her rhythm, she could easily knock down those shots and help you cheer for a win! It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Leonie Fiebich Over 13.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Leonie Fiebich has been playing well lately, especially at night, where she scores an average of 11.7 points. She also adds a couple of assists to that, which helps boost her overall numbers. With the New York Liberty facing the Atlanta Dream, who have been scoring a lot themselves, this could be a high-paced game where she gets plenty of chances to shine. Betting on Fiebich to get over 13.5 points, rebounds, and assists feels like a solid choice. Both teams have been winning a lot lately, so you can expect a competitive matchup. The biggest risk here is how close both teams are in skill lately, which means every player will need to step up. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Rhyne Howard Over 20.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
New York Liberty are on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games. That said, Atlanta Dream have been just as solid, winning 8 of their last 10. This matchup features two strong teams, but Rhyne Howard's performance stands out. He averages 25 points plus assists at night, showing he can really shine when the lights are on. For this game, betting on Rhyne Howard to score over 20.5 points and rebounds feels promising. He's shown he can step up his game, especially when playing at night. The biggest risk here is that both teams are playing well, making it tough to predict. Still, Howard has the skills to put up good numbers, so this bet is worth a look. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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