On Thursday 1 October 2026, Dallas Wings play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Dallas Wings +4 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Dallas Wings +4 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings have been on fire lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive average of almost 90 points per game. They've also taken 5 out of their last 6 matches, showing they know how to put points on the board. For this game, I like the Wings to cover the spread by taking them with a +4, especially since they're playing at home. The Golden State Valkyries have done well too, winning 7 of their last 10, but they faced a tougher schedule than most teams. The Wings' recent scoring and solid home performance give them a good chance to keep this close or even win outright. One risk is that the teams have similar recent form, making it tougher to predict the outcome. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 151.5 Total Points (-164)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Both the Dallas Wings and Golden State Valkyries are on hot streaks, winning 5 of their last 6 games each. The Wings are scoring a lot, averaging nearly 90 points a game this season. With both teams playing well, this matchup should see plenty of points. Our numbers predict a combined total around 167, which is above the line we're betting on. The biggest risk here is that both teams have faced tough opponents lately, which could impact their scoring. Still, I think the Over 151.5 has a good chance to hit. It was priced at -164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Awak Kuier Over 5.5 Rebounds (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Awak Kuier has been a strong performer for the Dallas Wings, and she's in a good spot to grab more than 5.5 rebounds against the Golden State Valkyries. The Wings are scoring a lot, averaging nearly 90 points a game, which usually leads to more missed shots and more chances for rebounds. While both teams have won 5 of their last 6 games, the Valkyries have faced a tougher schedule this season, which could make it harder for them to compete. The biggest risk is how close this matchup is, so anything could happen. Still, this bet feels solid! It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Jessica Shepard has been on fire lately, especially at night, where she scores around 16 points and dishes out over 5 assists. The Dallas Wings are also scoring a lot, averaging nearly 90 points per game. This means there are plenty of chances for Shepard to rack up her points. The Golden State Valkyries have faced a tougher schedule, which could make it harder for them to keep up. The main risk here is that if the game turns into a low-scoring affair, Shepard might not hit the 12 points we need. But overall, this bet looks strong. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Dallas Wings play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA on Thursday 1 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Arike Ogunbowale Over 14.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. It is on at College Park Center in Dallas. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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