On Wednesday 30 September 2026, New York Liberty play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is New York Liberty +1.5 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
New York Liberty +1.5 on the Line (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The New York Liberty are up against the Minnesota Lynx, and this matchup is quite close. While the Lynx have been scoring a lot, the Liberty have faced tougher competition recently and still managed to win 6 out of their last 10 games. The most concrete risk here is that both teams are in similar scoring form lately, making this pick feel like a toss-up. Still, taking the Liberty with a small spread could pay off nicely. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 178.5 Total Points (-200)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The New York Liberty have been playing well lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They've faced some tough teams, which shows they can handle pressure. On the other hand, the Minnesota Lynx are also in decent form but have only won 2 of their last 6. Both teams have been scoring lower than usual, and our numbers suggest the total points will be around 159.2. This means betting on under 178.5 seems smart. The biggest risk here is that both teams could surprise us and score more than expected. It was priced at -200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Leonie Fiebich has been scoring well lately, averaging over 10 points per game at night. She's also been getting a decent number of assists, which shows she's involved in the game. The matchup against the Minnesota Lynx could be a great chance for her to grab more rebounds, especially since both teams are pretty evenly matched. With both the Liberty and Lynx winning around the same number of games recently, it's going to be a competitive game. Fiebich's chances of getting over 3.5 rebounds look promising, but she might face tough competition from the Lynx players. Keep an eye on her performance, as that could make all the difference here. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Olivia Miles Under 10.5 Rebounds and Assists (+112)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Olivia Miles has been struggling a bit lately. In her last five games, she's only averaging about one assist and one rebound, which is below what you'd usually expect from her. The New York Liberty are also facing some tough competition, having played teams with a pretty solid record this season. This might make it harder for her to rack up those numbers. While she has the skill to shine, the chances of her getting over 10.5 combined rebounds and assists seem slim right now. The Minnesota Lynx have also been inconsistent, winning just two of their last six games. With both teams dealing with some ups and downs, it feels like a safe bet to go with the under on this one. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Breanna Stewart Under 36.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-112)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Breanna Stewart needs to score, grab rebounds, and dish out assists, but we're picking her to end below 36.5 tonight against the Minnesota Lynx. While she has been strong lately, she averages a bit less during the day and faces a tough matchup. The Lynx have also been playing well, winning six of their last ten games, which means they won't make it easy for her. Stewart has been averaging about 25.8 points and assists and 21.9 points at night, but in daylight, those numbers dip. The closest risk is that she might surprise us with a big game, especially with her talent. Still, with both teams on solid runs and the pressure of the game, it seems like a good spot for her to stay under the line. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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