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Model picks & player props
NHL
Ball Arena, Colorado
Indoor
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Toronto Maple Leafs
VS
Colorado Avalanche

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 19 markets for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche and backs Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $158.

15
Game markets graded
4
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Toronto Maple Leafs
with a 1.5-goal head start
Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$15.81Best price-172
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win77.1%
The price says63.3%

The model graded 19 markets for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $158 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 10 Oct 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Ball Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Toronto Maple Leafs 1.5 High77% chance -172
Moneyline Members only High65% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot40% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only Lean42% chance Members
3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot23% chance Members
Total Goals Members only Lean47% chance Members
2nd Period Puck Line Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Shots on Goal × 3 props Leanup to 53% Members
Assists × 1 prop Leanup to 46% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Toronto Maple Leafs and Colorado Avalanche last met on Sat 10 Oct 2026: Toronto Maple Leafs won 6-3. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Toronto Maple Leafs
+1.5
+ 14 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto Maple LeafsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado AvalancheMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado AvalancheSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado AvalanchePuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado AvalanchePuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado AvalanchePuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado AvalanchePuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple Leafs3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado AvalanchePuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado Avalanche2nd Period Puck LineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Nick Blankenburg DOut
  • Marshall Rifai DOut
  • John Tavares COut
  • Dakota Joshua COut
  • Miles Wood LWOut
  • Chris Tanev DOut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Cade Webber DOut
  • Elvis Merzlikins GOut
  • William Villeneuve DOut

Colorado Avalanche

  • Nicolas Roy COut
  • Zachary L'Heureux LWOut
Availability updated Oct 24, 8:08PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Gavin McKenna Toronto Maple Leafs Shots on Goal
Nathan MacKinnon Colorado Avalanche Assists
Auston Matthews Toronto Maple Leafs Shots on Goal
Darren Raddysh Toronto Maple Leafs Shots on Goal

+ 4 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Colorado AvalancheNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Colorado Avalanche moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineColorado Avalanche -1.5No line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Colorado Avalanche puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Colorado Avalanche total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Colorado Avalanche — what the model found

Our model graded 19 betting markets for Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche — 15 on the game itself and 4 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

15
Game markets graded
4
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 19 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 18 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche — recent results

Colorado Avalanche have won 2 of their last 5 games; Toronto Maple Leafs have won 4 of their last 5.

Colorado Avalanche — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–6NSHAway
W6–3TBHome
L3–4NJAway
L2–3PHIAway
W5–2PITHome
Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–2EDMAway
W5–4NYRHome
W6–2CBJAway
W3–1SJHome
L1–4NYIHome

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Colorado Avalanche won 1, Toronto Maple Leafs won 2.

DateColorado AvalancheToronto Maple LeafsWinner
Oct 1036Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 2541Colorado Avalanche
Jan 1334Toronto Maple Leafs

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Colorado Avalanche
PlayerStatus
Nicolas Roy COUT
Zachary L'Heureux LWOUT
Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Nick Blankenburg DOUT
Marshall Rifai DOUT
John Tavares COUT
Dakota Joshua COUT
Miles Wood LWOUT
Chris Tanev DOUT
Max Domi COUT
Cade Webber DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Colorado Avalanche — model preview

Colorado Avalanche v Toronto Maple Leafs, 11 October 2026. Top of the list: Nazem Kadri (Colorado Avalanche) Over 0.5 Assists. Here is why, in plain English.

On October 10, 2026 our model has run Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Colorado Avalanche To Win (-213), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Leafs vs Avalanche, or as Avalanche vs Leafs. The most recent game between them was Saturday 10 October 2026 at Ball Arena. The model has generated 15 game picks and 4 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Toronto Maple Leafs 2–1 across the last 3 meetings

Last meeting: Sat 10 Oct 2026, Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche: the Maple Leafs won 6-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
10 Oct 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ Colorado Avalanche3–6Toronto Maple Leafs
25 Jan 2026Colorado Avalanche @ Toronto Maple Leafs1–4Colorado Avalanche
13 Jan 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ Colorado Avalanche3–4Toronto Maple Leafs
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