Sonny Gray (STL) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Sonny Gray's recent performance data illustrates a consistent trend of allowing more than 2.5 hits per game, making the Over 2.5 bet a strong choice. In his last five games, Gray's average hits allowed is 4.2 overall, 5 when playing away, and 5.6 against the Guardians specifically. His average innings pitched doesn't significantly differ between overall, away, and against the Guardians games, indicating a consistent pattern of allowing hits. Furthermore, Gray is currently on a six game overall hit streak and an even more pronounced 16 game away hit streak. These streaks, along with his averages, suggest a high likelihood that Gray will allow more than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Guardians.

Masyn Winn (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Masyn Winn for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is based on his recent performance data. Despite his impressive hit streaks, both overall and away, Winn hasn't shown a propensity for stealing bases. His last five games, regardless of location or opponent, have resulted in zero stolen bases. Moreover, he hasn't been caught stealing either, indicating a lack of attempts. This suggests that either Winn or his coaching staff are not prioritizing stolen bases in their strategy. Therefore, given Winn's recent lack of stolen bases, the bet for Under 0.5 is a sound choice based on the available data.

Sonny Gray (STL) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-417)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Sonny Gray for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is backed by his recent performance data. In his last five games, Gray has an average of 0.8 walks overall, which increases to 1.2 in away games. This trend intensifies when facing the Guardians, with an average of 1.4 walks. Furthermore, his average innings pitched doesn't significantly decrease in away games or against the Guardians, suggesting he maintains a consistent performance. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, further indicate a tendency to allow hits, which often come with walks. Despite the low line of 0.5, Gray's statistics show a pattern of exceeding this number, especially in the specified conditions, making this a well-supported bet.

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