On Sunday 27 September 2026, Atlanta Dream play Washington Mystics in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 164 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 164 Total Points (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Atlanta Dream have been on fire lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive average of nearly 96 points in their last 20 outings. Their offense is really clicking, making them fun to watch. The Washington Mystics are also in great form, winning 8 of their last 10 and scoring around 84 points a game. Both teams have shown they can put up points, so betting on the total points to go over 164 feels like a solid choice. One risk here is that the Mystics are traveling a bit, which can sometimes affect a team's performance. However, with both teams scoring well recently, we expect a high-scoring game, and our numbers suggest a combined total close to 167.2. This matchup should be exciting, and there's a good chance it goes over the line. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rhyne Howard Under 18.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Rhyne Howard has been on fire lately, helping the Atlanta Dream score an impressive average of nearly 96 points in their last 20 games. However, in this matchup against the Washington Mystics, it might be tougher for her to reach over 18.5 points. Both teams are playing well, winning 5 of their last 6 games, but Howard could face a lot of defensive pressure given how closely matched these teams are. On top of that, the Mystics have been known to limit scoring opportunities. They typically force more turnovers and give away fewer free throws than usual. This could mean fewer chances for Howard to rack up points. While she's capable of a big game, the risk is that the defense might just keep her under that total. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sonia Citron Under 18.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Sonia Citron has been playing well, but she might struggle to hit her numbers against the Atlanta Dream. The Dream have been on fire lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games and scoring a ton of points. They're also pretty good at grabbing rebounds, which could limit Citron's chances to rack up her stats. While Citron has shown she can score and rebound, the matchup against the Dream might make it tough to reach 18.5 combined points and rebounds. The Mystics and Dream are both hot right now, but this game could be close. Keep in mind that the Dream have been strong defensively, and that could spell trouble for Citron's totals today. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Allisha Gray Under 24.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Allisha Gray has been a key player for Atlanta Dream, but the matchup against Washington Mystics could be tricky for her. Both teams have been on fire lately, winning 8 out of their last 10 games. However, the Mystics' defense has been strong, limiting opponents' scoring chances, and Gray might find it tough to rack up points, rebounds, and assists. Given how well the Mystics play defensively, betting on Gray to score under 24.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists seems smart. While she has had great moments, this matchup poses a challenge. The risk here is that both teams are playing at a high level, which could make it tough for any player to shine. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v Washington Mystics. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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