On Monday 28 September 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Dallas Wings in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 154 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 154 Total Points (-110)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

The Golden State Valkyries are playing strong, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They have faced tough opponents lately, but that hasn't slowed them down. The Dallas Wings are also on a roll, scoring an impressive 89.4 points a game this season. This matchup has the makings of a high-scoring affair, and the total points line is set at 154. With both teams scoring well and strong recent form, betting on the total points to go over 154 makes sense. The close competition means this game could easily swing either way. The biggest risk is that both teams might have an off night, but with their scoring averages, I think they'll light it up. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dallas Wings +7 on the Line (-108)

Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing

The Dallas Wings and Golden State Valkyries both come into this game hot, each winning five of their last six matches. The Wings are scoring a solid 89.1 points per game, while the Valkyries are putting up 82.3. This matchup is tight, and the Wings have a decent shot to keep it close, especially since our numbers suggest the final margin could be just a couple of points. Taking the Wings with a 7-point cushion is a smart move. With both teams having similar recent success, it's possible that the Wings could surprise us and keep the game within that spread. The biggest risk is that the Valkyries are playing at home, which can give them an advantage. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jessica Shepard Over 11.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Jessica Shepard has been a strong performer lately, helping the Golden State Valkyries score an impressive 82.3 points a game this season. With the team winning 5 of their last 6 games, she's likely to keep up the momentum. The Dallas Wings also have a solid offense, scoring 89.1 points a game, which could lead to a high-scoring match. The biggest risk here is that both teams have been playing well, and they could cancel each other out. Still, with Shepard's recent form, betting on her to score over 11.5 points seems like a promising choice. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cecilia Zandalasini Over 7.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

Cecilia Zandalasini is facing off against the Dallas Wings, who have been scoring a lot lately. The Wings score an impressive 89.1 points per game, while the Valkyries are not far behind at 82.3 points per game. This matchup looks promising for Zandalasini, especially since she has a good shot of getting over 7.5 points. Both teams are in good form, having won 5 of their last 6 games, which means they will be motivated to keep the scoring high. However, the risk is that the Wings are also a strong team, and this could lead to a tight game where every point counts. Even so, Zandalasini has the opportunity to shine in this exciting matchup. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Maddy Siegrist Under 10.5 Points and Rebounds (-109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Maddy Siegrist faces a tough challenge against the Golden State Valkyries, who have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. She'll need to find a way to score and grab rebounds against a team that has been playing well together, averaging over 82 points a game. While she's talented, the Valkyries' solid defense makes it harder for her to shine. Betting on Maddy to score under 10.5 points and rebounds feels like a smart move right now. Our numbers suggest it's a good chance, especially since she may struggle to get her usual stats against this tough matchup. The biggest risk is the close nature of the game, as both teams are performing well recently. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Dallas Wings. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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