WNBA
WNBA predictions for Tuesday, September 29: the model backs Liberty
2 WNBA games on Tuesday. The model's strongest pick is Liberty +3, a HIGH-confidence call.
By Alex Thompson · Published Sep 28, 12:00 AM ET · Updated Sep 29, 6:30 PM ET
Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers
Las Vegas Aces at Indiana Fever
Tue Sep 29, 6:40 PM ET
Our pick: Aces +1.5 (they can lose by up to 1 and the bet still wins)-110
LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers
The Indiana Fever have been on a good run, winning 4 of their last 6 games and scoring an impressive 96 points a game recently.
Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty
Tue Sep 29, 8:40 PM ET
Top pick: Liberty +3 (they can lose by up to 2 and the bet still wins; lose by exactly 3 and your stake comes back)-110
HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers
The New York Liberty have been playing well lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games, and they face the Minnesota Lynx, who have also won 6 of their last 10 but just 2 of their last 6.
How we pick these games
Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.
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