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WNBA predictions for Thursday, September 24: the model backs Sparks

5 WNBA games on Thursday. The model's strongest pick is Sparks +10.5, a HIGH-confidence call. 2 more games have a HIGH-confidence pick.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Thursday, September 24. See today's WNBA predictions

Toronto Tempo at Connecticut Sun

Thu Sep 24, 7:00 PM ET
Our pick: Tempo +3 (they can lose by up to 2 and the bet still wins; lose by exactly 3 and your stake comes back)-108

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Connecticut Sun have had a rough season, winning just 10 of their last 42 games and only 1 of their last 6.

Chicago Sky at Washington Mystics

Thu Sep 24, 7:30 PM ET
Our pick: Under 169 points-110

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The odds for the total points in this game are set at 169, but our numbers suggest it might be a bit high.

Indiana Fever at Minnesota Lynx

Thu Sep 24, 8:00 PM ET
Indiana Fever at Minnesota Lynx · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Golden State Valkyries at Los Angeles Sparks

Thu Sep 24, 10:00 PM ET
Top pick: Sparks +10.5 (they can lose by up to 10 and the bet still wins)-110

HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers

Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury

Thu Sep 24, 10:00 PM ET
Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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