On Sunday 4 October 2026, Atlanta Dream play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Atlanta Dream -2.5 on the Line, priced at -120 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Atlanta Dream -2.5 on the Line (-120)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
At -2.5, betting on the Atlanta Dream looks solid since they've been on a hot streak, winning 9 of their last 10 games and 6 in a row. They've faced some tough teams, but they've come through, showing they can handle pressure. Meanwhile, the New York Liberty have won 6 of their last 10, but they haven't been as consistent lately. The Dream also have the advantage of resting at home, while the Liberty have had a bit of travel to deal with. Just remember, the Liberty can still pull off a surprise. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Atlanta Dream to Win (-149)
Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing
The odds at -152 for the Atlanta Dream to win look promising, especially since they've been on fire, winning 9 out of their last 10 games. They've also won all of their last 6 matches. On top of that, the teams they've played recently haven't been easy, with a combined record that shows they faced one of the toughest schedules in the league. The New York Liberty have also been doing well, winning 6 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 6. However, they just might have a tougher time on the road, as they've traveled more than Atlanta and have played teams that are slightly tougher overall. The biggest risk is how closely matched these two teams can be based on their recent performances. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Leonie Fiebich Under 14.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Leonie Fiebich needs to keep her combined points, rebounds, and assists under 14.5 tonight for this bet to hit. She has been solid at home, but her overall numbers suggest she might struggle against a tough New York Liberty team. While Fiebich scores around 10 points at night, her assists and rebounds don't usually add up to a big total. The Atlanta Dream are on a hot streak, winning 6 games in a row and showing strong form. However, Fiebich averages just 1.5 assists away from home, which is concerning. With New York facing a tough schedule overall, this matchup could be tighter than expected, making it tricky for her to reach that 14.5 mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jonquel Jones Under 8.5 Rebounds (+109)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Jonquel Jones has been performing well lately, but his rebound numbers have been a bit lower during daylight games. He averages just under 2 rebounds less in these games compared to night games, which is a notable difference. With the Atlanta Dream winning 9 of their last 10 and on a 6-game winning streak, they are really in form. The New York Liberty have also been strong, but they face a tough challenge here. With both teams having played against strong opponents recently, it might be a close game. Given the pace and style of play, betting on Jonquel Jones to grab under 8.5 rebounds could be a smart move, but watch out-he could surprise us on the boards today! It was priced at +109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.90 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sabrina Ionescu Under 20.5 Points and Assists (-111)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Sabrina Ionescu is a great player, but she faces a tough matchup against the Atlanta Dream. They have been on fire lately, winning six games in a row and nine of their last ten. The Dream have been defending well, making it hard for opponents to score, and that could limit Ionescu's points and assists. Our numbers suggest a good chance that Ionescu won't reach 20.5 points and assists in this game. Even though she has strong stats at home, her recent performances show she might struggle against this solid Dream defense. The risk is that Ionescu could have a standout game despite the tough matchup. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.