Las Vegas Aces v New York Liberty, 31 July 2026. Top of the list: Under 200.5 Total Points. Our model likes 5 bets in this game.
On Friday 31 July 2026, Las Vegas Aces play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 200.5 Total Points, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 200.5 Total Points (-769)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As the Las Vegas Aces prepare to host the New York Liberty at the Michelob Ultra Arena, we're looking at a clash of basketball titans that may not deliver the offensive fireworks some expect. Both teams have shown a penchant for tightening up on defense in critical matchups, and with the stakes high, it's likely they'll focus on stopping each other rather than racing up and down the court. The Aces, while known for their scoring prowess, have recently adjusted their tempo, emphasizing ball control to manage leads. Meanwhile, the Liberty have been equally committed to defense, often slowing the pace to set up their half-court sets. With our model projecting a combined total of around 165 points, taking the under on 200.5 seems like a savvy bet. Expect a strategic battle where defense reigns supreme, making those high-scoring predictions feel a bit out of reach. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New York Liberty +14.5 on the Line (-400)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
As the Las Vegas Aces gear up to face the New York Liberty at the Michelob Ultra Arena, this matchup promises to be electric. The Aces, though formidable on their home court, may find themselves challenged by the Liberty's dynamic offensive play and defensive tenacity. Our model suggests a razor-thin margin, projecting just a two-point game favoring the Aces. With pace being a pivotal factor, the Liberty have been known to push the tempo, creating opportunities that can easily keep them within striking distance. With an alternate spread of 14.5, this line seems inflated given the expected competitiveness of the game. The Liberty are more than capable of answering the Aces' scoring barrage, making this a compelling wager for those looking to capitalize on the potential for a tight finish. Don't overlook New York's resilience; they could very well surprise the Aces in what's shaping up to be a nail-biter. It was priced at -400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sabrina Ionescu Over 19.5 Points and Rebounds (-227)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Las Vegas Aces play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Friday 31 July 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sabrina Ionescu Over 19.5 Points and Rebounds. That is a player points and rebounds combined bet. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.40 if it lands. It is on at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jackie Young Under 29.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-103)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Las Vegas Aces play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Friday 31 July 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jackie Young Under 29.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists. That is a player points, rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.70 if it lands. It is on at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jonquel Jones Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists (-238)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Las Vegas Aces play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Friday 31 July 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jonquel Jones Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists. That is a player rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -238 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.20 if it lands. It is on at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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