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Model picks & player props
New York Liberty
VS
Las Vegas Aces

New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 29, 10:38AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

WNBA
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas
Indoor
Fri 31 Jul 2026, 2:10AM
20
Game Picks
15
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 187.5 (alternate_totals)
For New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces (WNBA), model win probability 80.8%, fair odds 1.42, book price -278, model edge +7.3%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Fri 31 Jul 2026, 2:10AM at Michelob Ultra Arena.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Alt Total Points
Under
187.5
-278
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Underalternate_totalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas Acesalternate_spreadsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward New York Liberty on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward New York Liberty
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Betrivers
on New York Liberty
Shop gain & value% 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Liberty

  • Satou Sabally FOut
  • Marine Johannes GOut
  • Leonie Fiebich FOut

Las Vegas Aces

  • NaLyssa Smith FOut
  • Cheyenne Parker-Tyus FOut
  • Kierstan Bell FOut
  • Janiah Barker FOut
Availability updated Jul 29, 6:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jackie Young player_points_rebounds 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jackie Young player_points_rebounds_assists 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jackie Young player_points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Sabrina Ionescu player_assists 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Breanna Stewart player_points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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New York Liberty @ Las Vegas Aces — model preview

<p>Model-built preview and betting picks for New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces: our probability on every market, the value read, and where the edge sits.</p>

The model's read: Las Vegas Aces to win at 1.65 — we make it a 64% chance (+0.0% edge on the price).

Player angles the model likes:

  • Jackie Young Under 21.5 points rebounds at 1.89 — 84% by our numbers
  • Jackie Young Under 17.5 points at 1.88 — 83% by our numbers
  • Jackie Young Under 28.5 points rebounds assists at 1.96 — 82% by our numbers

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Friday 31 July 2026 at Michelob Ultra Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 15 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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