On Friday 18 September 2026, Toronto Tempo play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Toronto Tempo +12.5 on the Line, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Toronto Tempo +12.5 on the Line (-112)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The Toronto Tempo have been struggling a bit, but they still have a good shot against the Indiana Fever. They are playing at home, which usually gives teams a boost. Our numbers suggest Toronto could lose, but only by about six points, making the +12.5 spread look appealing. The Fever have a slightly better record, but the gap isn't huge, and they've had to travel quite a distance to get here. That journey can wear out a team, especially if they've been on the road for a while. The biggest risk here is that both teams are pretty close, so it could go either way. But with that spread, I think Toronto can keep it tight. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 202.5 Total Points (-417)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
At the Coca-Cola Coliseum, the Toronto Tempo is facing the Indiana Fever. Both teams have struggled lately, and our numbers suggest they might not score a lot, with an expected total of around 165 points. The Tempo has a tough time on offense, and with a big travel distance for the Fever, they might be a bit worn out. Given how close these teams are in terms of win percentage, this game could end up being low-scoring. So, betting on under 202.5 points feels like a smart choice. Just keep in mind, these games can be surprising! It was priced at -417 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Aliyah Boston has been really active lately, making a lot of free throws and grabbing steals, which shows she's playing well. We're betting on her to score over 16.5 points against the Indiana Fever. She's been consistent with her scoring and can take advantage of the Fever's defense. The matchup is pretty tight, so while she has a good chance to hit that point total, the Fever could put up a strong fight. It's a close call, but Boston's recent form makes this bet worth a shot. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Caitlin Clark Under 12.5 Rebounds and Assists (+108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The odds for Caitlin Clark's rebounds and assists being under 12.5 are looking pretty good at even money. Our numbers suggest this matchup might be tighter than usual. Clark has recently been averaging 0 offensive rebounds and her plus-minus rating has been solid, but not overwhelming at 4.8. She's also not getting as many steals as before, which could impact her overall contributions. One risk to keep in mind is that she could have a breakout game, especially against Indiana Fever, but the recent trends show her stats are running lower than usual. With her recent performance and the way the Fever play, going under 12.5 seems like a smart pick. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Makayla Timpson Under 17.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-108)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
The odds for Makayla Timpson to score under 17.5 points, rebounds, and assists look pretty fair at -106. Our numbers show she's been doing well lately, averaging about 12 points, which is above her usual. However, she's also been grabbing more offensive rebounds and making more free throws than normal, which could push her total up. Still, the matchup against the Indiana Fever is tricky. They are a solid team defensively, and Timpson's ability to make an impact may be limited. Plus, she has been averaging only a few steals and turnovers are down, meaning her chances to create extra opportunities might not be there. It's definitely a bit of a gamble, but the numbers suggest it's a good spot for this pick. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Toronto Tempo v Indiana Fever. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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