On Friday 18 September 2026, Minnesota Lynx play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is New York Liberty +7 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

New York Liberty +7 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Minnesota Lynx have been playing well, but the New York Liberty can really challenge them with their scoring. Our numbers see this matchup as almost even, suggesting the Liberty can keep it close, especially with the Lynx only projected to win by just over four points. One thing to watch is that the Liberty have to travel a bit, which can sometimes affect how well they play. Still, getting seven points makes this bet appealing. The Liberty have the talent to stay competitive, and they could surprise everyone with a strong showing. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 183 Total Points (-213)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Minnesota Lynx have been playing solid basketball lately, but their matchup against the New York Liberty suggests a lower-scoring game. Our numbers predict a combined score of about 163 points, which is well below the line set for this game. Both teams have shown they can struggle to score at times, and the travel advantage slightly favors the Lynx, who have less distance to cover. The biggest risk is that both teams could surprise us with a great shooting night, but overall, the Under 183 seems like a smart choice here. It was priced at -213 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Leonie Fiebich Over 15.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Leonie Fiebich has been showing some good form lately, especially with her scoring and involvement in plays. She's been getting more chances to make an impact, averaging a bit more in points and rebounds. This makes the bet for her total Points, Rebounds, and Assists to go over 15.5 look promising. The matchup against the New York Liberty could be tough since they have a strong defense, and it might be a close game. Fiebich's recent numbers suggest she can step up, but there's a chance she might struggle against tougher defenders. Still, with her current trend, this bet feels like a good shot. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Natasha Howard Over 6.5 Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Betting on Natasha Howard to get over 6.5 rebounds offers a solid chance based on her recent play. Our numbers suggest she's been grabbing around 5.2 defensive rebounds lately, which shows she's been active in that area. Plus, the Lynx will be playing at home, and they usually have a good crowd that can help boost energy. Just remember, the biggest risk is that her recent numbers could drop if the game pace changes unexpectedly. But overall, it looks promising for Howard to hit that rebound mark. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 27.5 Points and Rebounds (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Breanna Stewart needs to score fewer points and grab fewer rebounds than 27.5 tonight against the Minnesota Lynx. She has been playing well, but her recent numbers show she's not hitting those marks consistently. In her last five games, she's making just a bit under her usual field goals, and her offensive rebounds are also lower than what we typically see from her. The Lynx will put up a strong defense, making it tough for Stewart to find her rhythm. Plus, with both teams having a close matchup, there's a chance that they will focus more on defense. The biggest risk is that Stewart could still break out and have a big game, but right now, it looks like she might stay under that total. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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