Here are our NFL picks for Wednesday 14 October 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Nico Collins (HOU) Under 5.5 Receptions, priced at +116 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Nico Collins (HOU) Under 5.5 Receptions (+116)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Jacksonville Jaguars play Houston Texans in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Nico Collins (HOU) Under 5.5 Receptions. It was priced at +116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sam Darnold (SEA) Over 219.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Denver Broncos play Seattle Seahawks in the NFL on Friday 16 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sam Darnold (SEA) Over 219.5 Passing Yards. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
AJ Barner (SEA) Over 2.5 Receptions (+102)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Denver Broncos play Seattle Seahawks in the NFL on Friday 16 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is AJ Barner (SEA) Over 2.5 Receptions. It was priced at +102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Dalton Schultz (HOU) Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Jacksonville Jaguars play Houston Texans in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dalton Schultz (HOU) Over 30.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Nico Collins (HOU) Under 5.5 Receptions (+113)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Jacksonville Jaguars play Houston Texans in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Nico Collins (HOU) Under 5.5 Receptions. It was priced at +113 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Patrick Mahomes (KC) Over 225.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Kansas City Chiefs play Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Patrick Mahomes (KC) Over 225.5 Passing Yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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