Here are our NFL picks for Thursday 22 October 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Alvin Kamara (NO) Under 12.5 Receiving Yards, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Alvin Kamara (NO) Under 12.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New Orleans Saints play Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sunday 25 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Alvin Kamara (NO) Under 12.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Darren Waller (CAR) Over 2.5 Receptions (+120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Carolina Panthers play Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Sunday 25 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Darren Waller (CAR) Over 2.5 Receptions. It was priced at +120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Courtland Sutton (DEN) Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Arizona Cardinals play Denver Broncos in the NFL on Sunday 25 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Courtland Sutton (DEN) Over 35.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 19.5 Receiving Yards (-118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play New England Patriots in the NFL on Friday 23 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 19.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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