Here are our NFL picks for Saturday 17 October 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Jalen Royals (KC) Under 2.5 Receptions, priced at -179 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Jalen Royals (KC) Under 2.5 Receptions (-179)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Kansas City Chiefs play Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jalen Royals (KC) Under 2.5 Receptions. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Xavier Worthy (KC) Under 4.5 Receptions (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Kansas City Chiefs play Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Xavier Worthy (KC) Under 4.5 Receptions. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Ashton Jeanty (LV) Over 86.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Las Vegas Raiders play Buffalo Bills in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ashton Jeanty (LV) Over 86.5 Rush + Rec Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Justin Herbert (LAC) Under 192.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Kansas City Chiefs play Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Justin Herbert (LAC) Under 192.5 Passing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kalif Raymond (CHI) Over 24.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Atlanta Falcons play Chicago Bears in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kalif Raymond (CHI) Over 24.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jacoby Brissett (ARI) Under 242.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Los Angeles Rams play Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jacoby Brissett (ARI) Under 242.5 Passing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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