Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan Prediction & Picks

On Sunday 1 November 2026, Renato Moicano takes on Tom Nolan in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Tom Nolan to Win, priced at -115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Tom Nolan to Win (-115)

Tom Nolan needs to outsmart Renato Moicano and find a way to win this fight. Nolan has shown solid skills and his chances look good based on how he performs against fighters like Moicano. Both fighters are tough, but Nolan seems to have a slight advantage in how they handle pressure and keep going in tough spots. Moicano is skilled, but the fight could be really close. The biggest worry is that both fighters are durable, so it might turn into a long battle. Even so, Nolan has a good chance to come out on top tonight, making him a solid pick to win. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Renato Moicano: last five W-L-L-W-W, won the last fight, 3% of career wins came by knockout, 203 days since the last fight
• Tom Nolan: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 5-fight win streak, 17% of career wins came by knockout, 140 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Renato Moicano v Tom Nolan. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.