On Sunday 1 November 2026, Theodor Berggren takes on Rodrigo Sezinando in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Theodor Berggren to Win, priced at +157 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Theodor Berggren to Win (+157)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Berggren is listed as an underdog at +150, but our numbers show he has a genuine chance to win against Sezinando. The age difference is slight, which can often mean both fighters are in their prime and ready to perform. Berggren also has a solid track record of striking skills that could give him the upper hand in this matchup. Sezinando's style might make it tricky for Berggren, especially if he can take the fight to the ground. However, if Berggren can keep it standing and use his striking effectively, he has a great shot at pulling off the upset. It won't be easy, but the odds make this a tempting bet for those feeling hopeful. It was priced at +157 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $25.70 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
The tale of the tape:
- Rodrigo Sezinando: last five L, lost the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 406 days since the last fight
- Theodor Berggren: last five L, lost the last fight, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 119 days since the last fight
That is how our model reads Theodor Berggren v Rodrigo Sezinando. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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