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Model picks & player props
Aston Villa
VS
Tottenham Hotspur

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 9, 12:34PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep 2026, 11:30AM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Aston Villa 0 Spread +145

The model graded 20 markets for Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $245 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 19 Sep 2026, 11:30AM at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win50.7%
The price says36.9%
Best price+145
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Aston Villa 0 Lean51% chance +145
Spread High72% chance —
Spread Lean57% chance —
Spread High64% chance —
Draw No Bet Lean49% chance —
Moneyline Long-shot35% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot35% chance —
Total Goals High75% chance —
Spread High92% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
Tottenham Hotspur are the model's favourite to beat Aston Villa, with a 60% chance to win. Kick-off Sat 19 Sep, 11:30AM at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Best bet: Aston Villa 0 at +145.
How they've been scoring this season
Aston VillaTottenham Hotspur
Won-lost0-2-10-2-1
Goals scored per game0.00.0
Goals allowed per game1.71.7
On the road / at home0-1-1 away0-1-0 at home
Last 5 gamesLLDLLD
Their games average 1.7 total goals this season.
From the 3 Aston Villa and 3 Tottenham Hotspur games on our books this season.
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 56 of 116 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 7
Cagliari
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CASHED
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Aston Villa
+1.5
-588
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tottenham HotspurSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Aston Villa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Tottenham Hotspur

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

1 market live
Total GoalsAston Villa @ Tottenham HotspurOver +3.5 +235

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa total-goals angle; the model prices Over at 33% here.

Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur in the Soccer. You may also see this matchup written as Villa vs Hotspur, or as Hotspur vs Villa. The next scheduled game is Saturday 19 September 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 32 meetings on record
Tottenham Hotspur 19–9 across the last 32 meetings · 4 draws · these games average 3.0 goals (meetings on record since 2007)
DateGameScoreWinner
3 May 2026Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa1–2Tottenham Hotspur
19 Oct 2025Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur1–2Aston Villa
16 May 2025Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa2–0Aston Villa
3 Nov 2024Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur4–1Tottenham Hotspur
10 Mar 2024Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa0–4Tottenham Hotspur
26 Nov 2023Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur1–2Aston Villa
13 May 2023Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa2–1Aston Villa
1 Jan 2023Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur0–2Aston Villa
9 Apr 2022Tottenham Hotspur @ Aston Villa0–4Tottenham Hotspur
3 Oct 2021Aston Villa @ Tottenham Hotspur2–1Tottenham Hotspur

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 32 meetings on file.

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