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NFL predictions for Sunday, October 18: the model backs Bears

12 NFL games on Sunday. The model's strongest pick is Bears to win, a HIGH-confidence call. 3 more games have a HIGH-confidence pick.

By Marcus Cole · Published Oct 17, 11:51 AM ET · Updated Oct 18, 11:52 AM ET

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Sun Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET
Our pick: Over 21.5 (team total)-114

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Jacksonville Jaguars are set to face off against the Houston Texans, and this matchup presents some interesting challenges.

Full Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars preview →

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons

Sun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET
Top pick: Bears to win-120

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Chicago Bears have a solid chance to beat the Atlanta Falcons.

Full Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons preview →

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns

Sun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET
Our pick: Ravens to win-175

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Baltimore Ravens need to win against the Cleveland Browns tonight.

Full Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns preview →

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts

Sun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts preview →

New York Jets at New England Patriots

Sun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET

The model's picks for this game are on the game page.

Full New York Jets at New England Patriots preview →

New Orleans Saints at New York Giants

Sun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET
New Orleans Saints at New York Giants · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full New Orleans Saints at New York Giants preview →

Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles

Sun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles preview →

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers preview →

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams

Sun Oct 18, 4:05 PM ET
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams · Team Total Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams preview →

Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs

Sun Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs preview →

Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders

Sun Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET
Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders · Team Total Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders preview →

Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers

Sun Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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