On Wednesday 30 September 2026, New York Liberty play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is New York Liberty +2 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

New York Liberty +2 on the Line (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The New York Liberty face a tough challenge with the Minnesota Lynx, who are scoring a ton lately. However, the Liberty have shown they can hold their own, winning 6 of their last 10 games and facing one of the hardest schedules in the league. They've played well at home, and our numbers give them a good chance to keep it close. The Lynx have struggled a bit recently, winning only 2 of their last 6 games. The risk here is that the teams are pretty evenly matched. I like the Liberty to cover the spread and keep it tight. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 177.5 Total Points (-175)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The New York Liberty have been playing well lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They've faced tough competition, which makes their recent form even more impressive. On the other hand, the Minnesota Lynx have also won 6 of their last 10, but they're scoring fewer points recently, averaging just over 90 points a game this season. The combined total points in this matchup is expected to be around 160, so betting on under 177.5 seems smart. The biggest risk is that both teams can surprise with their scoring, but the Liberty's tough schedule gives them a solid chance to keep the total lower. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Marine Johannes Over 1.5 Assists (+110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The New York Liberty face the Minnesota Lynx in a matchup where both teams are scoring well, but the Liberty have played some tough opponents lately. Marine Johannes has a good chance to rack up assists, especially with her team needing strong playmakers. She's been involved in the offense, and with the Liberty's recent winning form, I like her to get over 1.5 assists. The biggest risk is that both teams are pretty evenly matched right now, which could limit her opportunities. Still, this could be a solid pick at plus odds! It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Olivia Miles Under 23.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Olivia Miles has been on a scoring tear lately, but there's a good chance she might not hit her usual numbers against the New York Liberty. The Liberty have been tough on defense, especially considering they've faced some of the hardest competition in the league. In their last few games, they have also been strong in limiting opponents' scoring, which puts pressure on Miles to perform. While Miles has shown flashes of brilliance, she has struggled to consistently hit the points and rebounds needed for this bet. The Minnesota Lynx have won a decent number of games, but they've been less effective in recent matchups. This could be a close game, so the risk here is that Miles could surprise, but with her recent performance against tough defenses, it feels safer to go with the under on her total. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Leonie Fiebich Under 10.5 Points and Assists (-109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Leonie Fiebich has been solid lately, but her scoring and assists drop a bit during the day. She averages about 10.3 points and 2.3 assists at night, but those numbers fall to around 7.8 points and 2 in daylight. This suggests she might struggle to reach double digits in points and assists combined in this matchup against the New York Liberty. Both teams are pretty evenly matched, and with the Liberty facing one of the toughest schedules, they will be ready for a challenge. The most concrete risk is that Fiebich could surprise everyone, as she has had some bright moments. Still, the odds are leaning toward her staying under 10.5 points and assists today. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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