On Thursday 1 October 2026, Dallas Wings play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Dallas Wings +2.5 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Dallas Wings +2.5 on the Line (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings are on a solid run, winning 5 of their last 6 games and scoring nearly 90 points a game this season. They face the Golden State Valkyries, who have also won 5 of their last 6 but have had a tougher schedule overall. With the Wings playing at home, they have a solid chance to cover the spread of 2.5 points. The biggest risk here is how closely matched these teams are, making it feel like a tight contest. Still, the Wings' strong recent form gives them a good shot to pull this off. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 151 Total Points (-179)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings are on a hot streak, winning five of their last six games and scoring an impressive 89.4 points per game this season. The Golden State Valkyries have also been strong, but they faced tougher opponents recently, which could weigh them down. With both teams scoring well and our numbers suggesting a combined total of around 168 points, betting on over 151 seems like a good idea. Just remember, the Valkyries have also been playing well, so it could end up closer than expected. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.60 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Paige Bueckers Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists (+110)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Paige Bueckers can be a big factor in the game between the Dallas Wings and the Golden State Valkyries. She's been scoring well, and her ability to dish out assists is impressive, especially when she plays at night. With the Wings scoring almost 90 points a game lately, she'll likely have plenty of chances to add to her rebounds and assists. The risk here is that both teams are performing well lately, making it hard to predict exactly how she'll do. Still, betting on Bueckers to get over 9.5 rebounds and assists feels like a solid pick. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Veronica Burton Under 16.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Veronica Burton has been a solid player for the Dallas Wings, but this matchup against the Golden State Valkyries might be tricky for her. Both teams have been playing well lately, winning five of their last six games, but the Valkyries have faced tougher opponents this season. This could make it harder for Burton to rack up her usual points and rebounds. While she averages impressive numbers, she may struggle to reach over 16.5 points and rebounds in this game. The most concrete risk is that the Valkyries can play tough defense, making it a real challenge for her to hit that mark. It's a close game, so keep that in mind if you're leaning towards this bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Awak Kuier Over 8.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Awak Kuier has been on fire lately, helping the Dallas Wings score a whopping 89.4 points per game this season. The Wings have won 7 of their last 10 games and seem to be in great form, especially with their strong home crowd behind them. Kuier's contributions in points and assists will be key as they face off against the Golden State Valkyries, who have also been winning but have had a tougher schedule this season. The bet for over 8.5 points and assists looks promising given Kuier's role in the Wings' offense. However, the Valkyries have shown they can hold their own, making this matchup closer than it might seem. If Kuier can find her rhythm early, she should be able to deliver, but the tight competition makes it a bit risky. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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