On Wednesday 30 September 2026, Washington Mystics play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 172 Total Points, priced at -233 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 172 Total Points (-233)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Washington Mystics have been on fire lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games and averaging a solid 84 points per game. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Dream are also doing well, winning 9 of their last 10, but they have faced tougher competition overall. With both teams playing strong defense, our pick is to bet on the total points being under 172. The most concrete risk here is that both teams are scoring well, but with their recent performances, it seems likely they might keep the score lower than expected. It was priced at -233 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Angel Reese Over 15.5 Points (+110)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

For Angel Reese to score over 15.5 points tonight, she needs to find her rhythm early against the Atlanta Dream. She's been strong at night, averaging 19.1 points in her last ten games. Playing at home, the Mystics have been scoring well, and Reese has the ability to capitalize on that energy. Both teams are in good form, with the Dream winning nine of their last ten games, but their schedule has been tougher than the Mystics'. That said, the competition could make it a close game. If Atlanta manages to keep things tight, it might limit Reese's scoring chances. Still, with her recent performance, there's a good chance she can push past that mark. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jordin Canada Over 14.5 Points and Rebounds (+110)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

Jordin Canada has been on fire lately, averaging impressive points and assists. With the Mystics scoring 84 points a game, there should be plenty of chances for her to rack up points and rebounds. Both teams have been winning a lot recently, making this matchup exciting. However, the Atlanta Dream have faced tougher teams, which could challenge her a bit. Still, I think she can go over 14.5 combined points and rebounds, especially considering her strong performance at night. It's a close call, but I like this bet for Canada. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Allisha Gray Under 18.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

For this game, Allisha Gray needs to score fewer than 19 points. While she has been strong recently, the Washington Mystics have been tough on defense, winning 8 of their last 10 games and allowing only 84 points per game. This could limit her scoring opportunities tonight. Gray's average points drop a bit during the day, and she has been held under 18.5 points in some recent matchups. With the Mystics playing so well and focusing on defense, there's a solid chance she may not hit that mark. The biggest risk is that Gray has been scoring well, but the Mystics' strong form makes this bet worth considering. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Washington Mystics v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article