New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks (Marine Johannes Key Factor): Our Expert Analysis

The New York Liberty have been playing well lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They've faced tough competition, which makes their recent form even more impressive. On the other hand, the Minnesota Lynx have also won 6 of their last 10, but they're scoring fewer points recently, averaging just over 90 points a game this season. The combined total points in this matchup is expected to be around 160, so betting on under 177.5 seems smart. The biggest risk is that both teams can surprise with their scoring, but the Liberty's tough schedule gives them a solid chance to keep the total lower. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Marine Johannes Over 1.5 Assists (+110)

The New York Liberty face the Minnesota Lynx in a matchup where both teams are scoring well, but the Liberty have played some tough opponents lately. Marine Johannes has a good chance to rack up assists, especially with her team needing strong playmakers. She's been involved in the offense, and with the Liberty's recent winning form, I like her to get over 1.5 assists. The biggest risk is that both teams are pretty evenly matched right now, which could limit her opportunities. Still, this could be a solid pick at plus odds! It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 23.5 Points (-110)

Breanna Stewart needs to score under 23.5 points tonight for this bet to pay off. While she has been a scoring machine, averaging nearly 22 points at night, the Minnesota Lynx have been tough on defense lately. They've won six of their last ten games and are allowing fewer points than usual, which could keep Stewart from hitting that mark. There is a real chance that Stewart might not reach 24 points since she tends to score less during the day. Plus, the Liberty have faced some of the toughest teams in the league, which might mean she doesn't need to do as much scoring. It's a close matchup, and while Stewart is talented, this could be a tricky game for her points. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Napheesa Collier Under 21.5 Points and Assists (-110)

To win this bet, Napheesa Collier needs to score fewer than 21.5 points and assists combined tonight. She's been great at home, but her numbers suggest she might struggle to hit that mark against the New York Liberty. Collier averages about 10.6 rebounds and assists when playing at home, but her overall performance has been less impressive in recent games. The Minnesota Lynx have also faced a tough schedule lately, similar to the Liberty, which could make it harder for Collier to rack up points and assists. While both teams are coming off solid wins, the Liberty's defense might keep Collier in check more than expected. There's a solid chance she doesn't reach that total tonight, especially given how closely matched these teams are. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.