On Thursday 1 October 2026, Dallas Wings play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Dallas Wings +4 on the Line, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Dallas Wings +4 on the Line (-108)
Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings have been on fire lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive average of almost 90 points per game. They've also taken 5 out of their last 6 matches, showing they know how to put points on the board. For this game, I like the Wings to cover the spread by taking them with a +4, especially since they're playing at home. The Golden State Valkyries have done well too, winning 7 of their last 10, but they faced a tougher schedule than most teams. The Wings' recent scoring and solid home performance give them a good chance to keep this close or even win outright. One risk is that the teams have similar recent form, making it tougher to predict the outcome. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 151 Total Points (-179)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings are on a hot streak, winning five of their last six games and scoring an impressive 89.4 points per game this season. The Golden State Valkyries have also been strong, but they faced tougher opponents recently, which could weigh them down. With both teams scoring well and our numbers suggesting a combined total of around 168 points, betting on over 151 seems like a good idea. Just remember, the Valkyries have also been playing well, so it could end up closer than expected. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.60 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Paige Bueckers Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists (+110)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Paige Bueckers can be a big factor in the game between the Dallas Wings and the Golden State Valkyries. She's been scoring well, and her ability to dish out assists is impressive, especially when she plays at night. With the Wings scoring almost 90 points a game lately, she'll likely have plenty of chances to add to her rebounds and assists. The risk here is that both teams are performing well lately, making it hard to predict exactly how she'll do. Still, betting on Bueckers to get over 9.5 rebounds and assists feels like a solid pick. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Gabby Williams has been a solid player for the Dallas Wings, but when it comes to night games, she averages just under 14 points. With the Wings scoring a whopping 89.4 points a game, there's a lot of action on the court, but her recent night performances might not match that energy. Also, the Golden State Valkyries have faced some tough teams lately, which could impact how they defend against her. The bet here is for Gabby to score under 15.5 points. While she's had some good games, the matchup looks pretty close, and there's a real chance she might not hit that number tonight. It's worth considering how the Valkyries' tough schedule may push for a stronger defensive effort against her. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Awak Kuier Over 8.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Awak Kuier has been on fire lately, helping the Dallas Wings score a whopping 89.4 points per game this season. The Wings have won 7 of their last 10 games and seem to be in great form, especially with their strong home crowd behind them. Kuier's contributions in points and assists will be key as they face off against the Golden State Valkyries, who have also been winning but have had a tougher schedule this season. The bet for over 8.5 points and assists looks promising given Kuier's role in the Wings' offense. However, the Valkyries have shown they can hold their own, making this matchup closer than it might seem. If Kuier can find her rhythm early, she should be able to deliver, but the tight competition makes it a bit risky. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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