On Monday 10 August 2026, New York Liberty play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 198.5 Total Points, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 198.5 Total Points (-769)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

When the New York Liberty face off against the Las Vegas Aces at Barclays Center, we're in for a clash of two heavyweights, but this match may not be a high-scoring affair. Both teams excel defensively, with the Liberty showcasing a tenacious perimeter defense that can stifle even the most potent offenses. The Aces, while known for their star power, have often relied on their defense to dictate the pace. In this matchup, expect a slower tempo as both squads will likely prioritize getting stops over pushing the ball. Our projections suggest a combined total closer to 160, which is significantly below the line set at 198.5. The combination of elite defensive efforts and a methodical pace points towards a compelling case for the Under, making it a savvy play in this anticipated showdown. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Las Vegas Aces +23.5 on the Line (-714)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As the New York Liberty welcome the Las Vegas Aces to Barclays Center, this matchup promises to be a thrilling showcase of WNBA talent. The Aces have been on a tear, boasting a dynamic offense that thrives in fast-paced games, while the Liberty struggle to keep up defensively. With both teams capable of scoring in droves, expect a high-energy clash. The model suggests a razor-thin margin, but the Aces' deep roster can exploit the Liberty's inconsistencies, especially under pressure. This game could see Las Vegas pulling away late, riding the momentum of their potent scoring. Betting on the Aces to cover a hefty spread of 23.5 is a calculated risk that capitalizes on their ability to outpace and outlast opponents. Given their form and the stakes, look for the Aces to flex their muscles in Brooklyn and secure a decisive victory. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jackie Young Under 4.5 Rebounds (-101)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

New York Liberty play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jackie Young Under 4.5 Rebounds. That is a player rebounds bet. It was priced at -101 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.90 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

A'ja Wilson Over 22.5 Points (-208)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

New York Liberty play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is A'ja Wilson Over 22.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -208 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.80 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists (-161)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New York Liberty play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.20 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Las Vegas Aces. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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