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Model picks & player props
New York Knicks
VS
Boston Celtics

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
4
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Boston Celtics -1 (Point Spread)
For New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics (NBA), model win probability 82.3%, fair odds 1.21, book price -106, model edge +30.8%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Boston Celtics
-1
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Boston CelticsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston CelticsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Knicks

  • Mohamed Diawara FDay-to-day
  • Jalen Brunson GDay-to-day

Boston Celtics

  • Chris Cenac Jr. FDay-to-day
  • Dillon Mitchell FDay-to-day
  • Hugo Gonzalez GDay-to-day
  • Jayson Tatum FDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 8:11PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsNew York Knicks @ Boston CelticsNo line posted

Boston Celtics and New York Knicks combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadBoston Celtics spreadNo line posted

Boston Celtics (season record) meet New York Knicks; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineBoston Celtics to winNo line posted

Boston Celtics (season record) host or visit New York Knicks; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Boston Celtics totalNo line posted

Boston Celtics averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New York Knicks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)New York Knicks totalNo line posted

New York Knicks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Boston Celtics; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

New York Knicks @ Boston Celtics — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks : Under 253.5 Total Points (-1429)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The 'Under 253.5' bet for the match between the Boston Celtics and the New York Knicks is a sound choice based on the teams' recent scoring trends. Over their last five games, the Celtics' average score is 112.2 points, and the Knicks' is 125.4 points. Even in their best-case scenarios, with the Celtics scoring an average of 119.4 points at home and the Knicks scoring 119.8 points away, the combined total falls short of the 253.5 threshold. Moreover, both teams have successfully kept their opponents' scores low in recent games, with an average of 103.2 points for the Celtics and 119.2 for the Knicks. Considering these statistics, the likelihood of the total score exceeding 253.5 points seems low, making the 'Under' bet a logical choice.

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks : New York Knicks Under 125.5 Team Total Points (-556)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The New York Knicks have been scoring an average of 119.8 points in their last five away games, which is below the proposed total of 125.5 points. Moreover, the model prediction anticipates the Knicks will only score 93.35 points, further supporting the 'Under 125.5' outcome. Additionally, the opponent team (Boston Celtics) allowed an average of 119.2 points in their last five games, which doesn't suggest the Knicks will exceed the 125.5 point mark. The Knicks also have a slightly losing away record of 2-3, providing another indication that their scoring may be suppressed. Hence, these statistics collectively indicate that betting 'Under 125.5' is a sensible choice.

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks : Boston Celtics -1 (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Boston Celtics have a strong recent home record, going 5-0 in their last five home games, while the New York Knicks have a less impressive away record of 2-3. The Celtics also have a better defensive record at home, with an average opponent score of 103.2 compared to the Knicks' 119.2 on the road. Despite the Celtics' recent loss record against the Knicks, their improved home performance and stronger defensive stats make them a solid bet. Additionally, the Celtics' score at home (119.4) is marginally lower than the Knicks' away score (119.8), which indicates a high likelihood of a tight game. A one-point advantage in favor of the Celtics seems plausible and a good bet based on these statistics.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics in the NBA. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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