The under 1.5 bet on Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is a strong choice given his recent performance data. His last five games show an average of only 1 hit per game, both overall and in away games. Even when considering his performance against the Oakland Athletics, his average is still only 1.4 hits per game. Furthermore, his plate appearances average is around 4.6, which means he isn't getting a significant number of opportunities to hit. His current hit streak is also low, with only 1 hit overall and no hits in his recent away games. This suggests that he may be in a bit of a slump, which makes the under 1.5 bet a viable choice. Overall, the data indicates that it's unlikely for Gurriel Jr. to achieve more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game.
Ketel Marte (ARI) Under 1.5 Hits (-244)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Ketel Marte to achieve under 1.5 hits is a statistically sound decision. Despite his current hit streaks, Marte's recent performance data suggests a lower hit rate. His average hits both overall and away over the last five games is 0.8, indicating a tendency to hit less than 1.5 times per game. His plate appearances (PAs) also support this, with averages of 3.4 overall and 3.2 away. Although his average hits and PAs increase against the Athletics, these figures are skewed by past performances and don't necessarily predict future results. The implied probability of 70.9% further strengthens the under 1.5 bet. Therefore, considering Marte's recent averages and the implied probability, betting under 1.5 hits is a statistically justified choice.
Luis Urias (ATH) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-179)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Luis Urias for Under 1.5 in the Batter Total Bases market is primarily driven by his recent performance data. Urias' last five games show an overall average of just 0.8 hits, with no doubles or triples, and only 0.2 home runs. His performance dips even further when playing away, with a mere 0.4 hits average. His performance against the Oakland Athletics is slightly better, but still not enough to surpass the 1.5 total bases line, as his hits average against them is 1.2, with 0.6 doubles and 0.2 home runs. Furthermore, his current overall hit streak is at zero. Despite a five-game hit streak away, the lack of power hitting (doubles, triples, home runs) suggests that Urias is unlikely to exceed 1.5 total bases in the upcoming game.
Brent Rooker (ATH) Under 1.5 Hits (-233)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Brent Rooker for Under 1.5 in the Batter Hits market is a good choice, primarily because of his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Rooker's overall hits average is 1.6, but it drops to 1.4 when playing away. This indicates a slightly lower performance when playing away from home, which is the case in the upcoming game against the Oakland Athletics. Additionally, his overall current hit streak is zero, suggesting a recent dip in form. Despite a small away hit streak of 2, his lower plate appearance average of 4.4 in away games compared to 4.6 overall slightly reduces his hitting opportunities. Therefore, based on Rooker's recent performance and the location of the game, it is statistically likely that he will score under 1.5 hits.
Corbin Carroll (ARI) Over 0.5 Hits (-286)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Corbin Carroll for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Alternate market is a solid choice based on his recent performance. Carroll's last five overall batting averages are 1.4 hits per game, and his away game average is also 1.4 hits. This consistency in performance indicates a high probability that he will hit at least once in the upcoming game. Furthermore, his plate appearances (PA) average is 5, providing him ample opportunities to secure a hit. Even against the Oakland Athletics, his hit average is 0.8, which, although lower than his overall average, is still higher than the 0.5 line. While his current away hit streak is zero, his overall hit streak is at 1, indicating recent success. These statistics together suggest a high likelihood of Carroll achieving over 0.5 hits in the upcoming game.