On Sunday 27 September 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Indiana Fever +4.5 on the Line, priced at -105 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Indiana Fever +4.5 on the Line (-105)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces are both scoring a lot lately, with the Fever at 96.7 points per game and the Aces at 91.1. The Fever have won 7 of their last 10, and they've been pretty hot, winning 4 of their last 6. The Aces also have a strong record, winning 8 of their last 10, but this matchup feels pretty even, almost like a coin flip. The key risk here is that the Aces have been on a winning streak at home, but a spread of 4.5 points gives the Fever a good chance to keep it close. The Fever are playing well, and with this being such a tight matchup, taking Indiana Fever +4.5 seems like a smart bet. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 191.5 Total Points (-263)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces are on a fantastic run, winning six straight games and scoring an impressive average of 91.1 points. However, the Indiana Fever are also doing well, with a solid average of 96.7 points over their last few games. Despite both teams' scoring abilities, our numbers suggest a combined total of about 167 points, which is quite a bit lower than the line. The biggest risk is how closely matched these teams are in terms of recent wins. Still, going with the Under 191.5 seems like a smart choice given the trend. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Betting on Aliyah Boston to get under 8.5 rebounds offers a nice price at +110. Our numbers show that Boston has been averaging fewer rebounds than that, with her recent games showing just 4 total rebounds compared to the typical 6.9. The Las Vegas Aces have been playing strong, winning 8 of their last 10 games and are known for scoring a lot, but they also limit their opponents' chances for second chances. The Indiana Fever have been solid too, winning 7 of their last 10 games. However, Boston's rebounding numbers against a team like the Aces, who are tough on the boards, make this bet look promising. The main risk is that the Fever play a fast-paced game, which could lead to more shots and therefore more chances for rebounds. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jewell Loyd Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Jewell Loyd has been playing well lately, but the Aces have a strong defense that can limit her chances. The Las Vegas Aces have won eight of their last ten games and are known for their solid team play. They have been especially good at controlling the pace, which can make it harder for Loyd to get open looks for three-pointers. Betting on Jewell Loyd to make under 1.5 three-pointers seems smart here. While she can score, the Aces have been limiting opponents' shooting from beyond the arc. The biggest risk is that Loyd could get hot early, but with the Aces in such good form, they may keep her in check. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Sophie Cunningham has been solid recently, but the Las Vegas Aces are a tough team. They've won their last six games and are scoring a lot, but they also play strong defense. The Aces are known for making it hard for opponents to get easy shots, so Cunningham may find it challenging to reach over 6.5 points. The Indiana Fever are scoring well too, but with the Aces' recent form and solid defensive play, there's a good chance Cunningham might not hit that mark. The closest matchup detail is that the Aces have been rolling lately, winning eight of their last ten games. Keep in mind that Cunningham could easily surprise, but the odds suggest this is a smart bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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