Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks (Napheesa Collier Key Factor): Smart Betting Angles

The Minnesota Lynx are scoring a lot lately, averaging over 91 points a game, but they've only won three of their last six games. On the other hand, the New York Liberty have been strong too, winning four of their last six. Plus, they've faced some of the toughest teams in the league, which shows they can handle pressure well. Betting on New York Liberty to win with a 7.5-point cushion feels like a solid choice. The Lynx might be at home, but our numbers suggest they're only expected to win by about three points. The biggest risk here is how close these teams are performing, so it could be a nail-biter. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Napheesa Collier Under 7.5 Rebounds (+109)

Napheesa Collier is set at under 7.5 rebounds in this matchup against the New York Liberty, and the odds are looking pretty good at +106. Minnesota has been scoring a lot lately, but Collier's recent numbers show she's averaging about 7.1 rebounds at home and only 6.9 on the road. That's not too far from what we need, which makes this pick quite interesting. Both teams have played some tough opponents lately, and New York's schedule has been one of the hardest in the league. While Collier does have a solid home performance, the risk here is how close the matchup is, which could lead to a tighter game with fewer rebounds available for her. It's a bit of a gamble, but worth considering! It was priced at +109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.90 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Olivia Miles Under 23.5 Points and Rebounds (-111)

The Minnesota Lynx and New York Liberty are both strong teams, but Olivia Miles has been facing some challenges lately. The Lynx have a solid scoring average, but Miles only scored over 23.5 points and rebounds in a few games recently. Meanwhile, the Liberty have played against some tough competition, which could mean Miles might struggle to put up big numbers in this matchup. Betting on Miles to get under 23.5 points and rebounds seems smart. With the Lynx having a decent record but Miles not being at her best, it seems likely she won't reach that number. The close competition means this is a risk, but with our numbers giving a good chance here, it might be worth a look. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Courtney Williams Under 16.5 Points and Assists (-108)

Courtney Williams has been struggling a bit lately, and that makes this bet interesting. She's been held back by tough defenses, especially when playing against strong teams. The New York Liberty have faced one of the hardest schedules in the league, which can make it tougher for any player to shine. On top of that, Williams has only scored a combined total of 16 points and assists in some recent games. With the Minnesota Lynx giving up fewer points lately, there's a real chance she could stay under 16.5 in this matchup. Just keep in mind that both teams are competitive, so anything could happen. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.